Triumph Gold Corp Stock Volatility

TIGCF Stock  USD 0.19  0.02  9.52%   
Triumph Gold Corp owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0529, which indicates the firm had a -0.0529% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Triumph Gold Corp exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Triumph Gold's Coefficient Of Variation of (2,995), variance of 40.69, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Triumph Gold's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Triumph Gold Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Triumph daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Triumph's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Triumph Gold volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Triumph Gold can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Triumph Gold at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Triumph stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Triumph Gold's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

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Triumph Gold Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Triumph Gold's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Triumph pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Triumph pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, Triumph Gold's beta of -1.06 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Triumph Gold pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Triumph Gold Corp is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Triumph Gold Corp is a potential penny stock. Although Triumph Gold may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny pink sheets are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Triumph Gold Corp. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Triumph instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Triumph Gold Corp Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Triumph Gold correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Triumph Beta

    
  -1.06  
Triumph standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  6.15  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Triumph Gold's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Triumph Gold's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in triumph pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Triumph Gold.

Triumph Gold Corp Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Triumph Gold pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Triumph Gold's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Triumph Gold's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Triumph Gold's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of pink sheet volatility measures Triumph Gold's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Triumph Gold's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Triumph Gold's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Triumph Gold's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Triumph Gold Corp Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Triumph Gold Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Triumph Gold Corp has a beta of -1.0557 . This usually implies
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Triumph Gold or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Triumph Gold's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Triumph pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Triumph Gold Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Triumph Gold's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how triumph pink sheet's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Triumph Gold Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Triumph Gold Pink Sheet Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Triumph Gold is -1889.97. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 37.85 and standard deviation of 6.15. The mean deviation of Triumph Gold Corp is currently at 3.86. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.56
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.09
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-1.06
σ
Overall volatility
6.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Triumph Gold Pink Sheet Return Volatility

Triumph Gold historical daily return volatility represents how much of Triumph Gold pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 6.1526% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.5689% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Triumph Gold Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Triumph Gold or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Triumph Gold may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Triumph's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Triumph Gold and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Triumph Gold fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Triumph Gold Corp., a junior natural resource company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties. Triumph Gold Corp. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. TRIUMPH GOLD is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.
Triumph Gold's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Triumph Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Triumph Gold's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Triumph Gold's volatility to invest better

Higher Triumph Gold's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Triumph Gold Corp stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Triumph Gold Corp stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Triumph Gold Corp investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Triumph Gold's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Triumph Gold's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Triumph Gold Investment Opportunity

Triumph Gold Corp has a volatility of 6.15 and is 10.79 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Triumph Gold Corp is higher than 54 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Triumph Gold Corp to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The pink sheet experiences a very speculative downward sentiment. The market maybe over-reacting. Check odds of Triumph Gold to be traded at $0.1805 in 90 days.

Good diversification

The correlation between Triumph Gold Corp and NYA is -0.09 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Triumph Gold Corp and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Triumph Gold Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Triumph Gold's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Triumph Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Triumph Gold pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Triumph Gold Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Triumph Gold as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Triumph Gold's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Triumph Gold's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Triumph Gold Corp.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Triumph Gold Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Note that the Triumph Gold Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Triumph Gold's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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When running Triumph Gold's price analysis, check to measure Triumph Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Triumph Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Triumph Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Triumph Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Triumph Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Triumph Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Triumph Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Triumph Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Triumph Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.