TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0109, which indicates the fund had -0.0109% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards measuring the risk of any fund is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. TIAA CREF exposes fifteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its stock price that cannot be diversified away. Please validate TIAA CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX risk adjusted performance of (0.031972), and Standard Deviation of 0.4052 to confirm the risk estimate we provide.
30 Days Market Risk
Chance of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
TIAA CREF Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of TIAA daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use TIAA's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of TIAA CREF volatility.
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as TIAA CREF can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of TIAA CREF at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase TIAA stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of TIAA CREF's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with TIAA Mutual Fund
Moving against TIAA Mutual Fund
TIAA CREF Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
TIAA CREF's beta coefficient measures the volatility of TIAA mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents TIAA mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, TIAA CREF's beta of 0.58 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk TIAA CREF mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.TIAA CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.31 and kurtosis of 0.06. However, we advise investors to further study TIAA CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure TIAA CREF's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact TIAA CREF's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall. 3 Months Beta |Analyze TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX Demand TrendCheck current 90 days TIAA CREF correlation with market (NYSE Composite)
TIAA standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by TIAA CREF's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of TIAA CREF's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in tiaa mutual fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in TIAA CREF.
TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which TIAA CREF fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with TIAA CREF's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of TIAA CREF's mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of TIAA CREF's volatility:
Historical VolatilityThis type of fund volatility measures TIAA CREF's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict TIAA CREF's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.
Implied VolatilityThis type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for TIAA CREF's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on TIAA CREF's to be redeemed at a future date.
TIAA CREF Projected Return Density Against MarketAssuming the 90 days horizon TIAA CREF has a beta of 0.5791 . This usually implies as returns on the market go up, TIAA CREF average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TIAA CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to TIAA CREF or TIAA Investments sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that TIAA CREF's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a TIAA fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite. TIAA CREF's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how tiaa mutual fund's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.
What Drives a TIAA CREF Price Volatility?Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:
IndustrySpecific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.
Political and Economic environmentWhen governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.
The Company's PerformanceSometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.
TIAA CREF Mutual Fund Risk Measures
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to TIAA CREF or TIAA Investments sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that TIAA CREF's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a TIAA fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision. Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of TIAA CREF is -9156.41. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.17 and standard deviation of 0.41. The mean deviation of TIAA CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX is currently at 0.32. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.58
TIAA CREF Mutual Fund Return VolatilityTIAA CREF historical daily return volatility represents how much of TIAA CREF fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 0.4137% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6083% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
About TIAA CREF Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of TIAA CREF or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of TIAA CREF may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to TIAA's beta indicator, it measures the risk of TIAA CREF and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of TIAA CREF fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.Please read more on our technical analysis page.
TIAA CREF's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on TIAA Mutual Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much TIAA CREF's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize TIAA CREF's volatility to invest betterHigher TIAA CREF's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in TIAA CREF's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of TIAA CREF's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
TIAA CREF Investment OpportunityNYSE Composite has a standard deviation of returns of 0.61 and is 1.49 times more volatile than TIAA CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX. 3 of all equities and portfolios are less risky than TIAA CREF. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of TIAA CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX is lower than 3 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Use TIAA CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. Benchmarks are essential to demonstrate the utility of optimization algorithms. The mutual fund experiences a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of TIAA CREF to be traded at $17.84 in 90 days.
TIAA CREF Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of TIAA CREF's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TIAA CREF's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of TIAA CREF mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
TIAA CREF Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against TIAA CREF as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. TIAA CREF's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, TIAA CREF's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to TIAA CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in TIAA CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX. Also, note that the market value of any Mutual Fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Complementary Tools for TIAA Mutual Fund analysis
When running TIAA CREF's price analysis, check to measure TIAA CREF's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TIAA CREF is operating at the current time. Most of TIAA CREF's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TIAA CREF's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TIAA CREF's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TIAA CREF to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.