TuSimple Holdings Volatility

TSPDelisted Stock  USD 0.25  0.03  10.71%   
TuSimple Holdings owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.27, which indicates the firm had a -0.27% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. TuSimple Holdings exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate TuSimple Holdings' risk adjusted performance of (0.08), and Variance of 105.88 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to TuSimple Holdings' volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
TuSimple Holdings Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of TuSimple daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use TuSimple's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of TuSimple Holdings volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as TuSimple Holdings can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of TuSimple Holdings at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase TuSimple stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of TuSimple Holdings' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

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TuSimple Holdings Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

TuSimple Holdings' beta coefficient measures the volatility of TuSimple stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents TuSimple stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, TuSimple Holdings's beta of 0.84 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk TuSimple Holdings stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. TuSimple Holdings is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. TuSimple Holdings is a potential penny stock. Although TuSimple Holdings may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in TuSimple Holdings. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on TuSimple instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny delisted stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze TuSimple Holdings Demand Trend
Check current 90 days TuSimple Holdings correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

TuSimple Beta

    
  0.84  
TuSimple standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  11.87  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by TuSimple Holdings's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of TuSimple Holdings' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in tusimple stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in TuSimple Holdings.

TuSimple Holdings Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which TuSimple Holdings delisted stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with TuSimple Holdings' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of TuSimple Holdings' stock to predict their future moves. A delisted stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile delisted stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of TuSimple Holdings' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of delisted stock volatility measures TuSimple Holdings' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict TuSimple Holdings' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for TuSimple Holdings' current market price. This means that the delisted stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on TuSimple Holdings' to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
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TuSimple Holdings Projected Return Density Against Market

Considering the 90-day investment horizon TuSimple Holdings has a beta of 0.8412 . This usually implies as returns on the market go up, TuSimple Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TuSimple Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to TuSimple Holdings or Ground Transportation sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that TuSimple Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a TuSimple delisted stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
TuSimple Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
TuSimple Holdings' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how tusimple stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a TuSimple Holdings Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a delisted stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

TuSimple Holdings Stock Risk Measures

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of TuSimple Holdings is -369.08. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 140.78 and standard deviation of 11.86. The mean deviation of TuSimple Holdings is currently at 8.99. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-1.59
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.84
σ
Overall volatility
11.87
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

TuSimple Holdings Stock Return Volatility

TuSimple Holdings historical daily return volatility represents how much of TuSimple Holdings delisted stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The enterprise has volatility of 11.865% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.633% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About TuSimple Holdings Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of TuSimple Holdings or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of TuSimple Holdings may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to TuSimple's beta indicator, it measures the risk of TuSimple Holdings and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of TuSimple Holdings fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
TuSimple Holdings Inc., an autonomous technology company, develops autonomous technology specifically designed for semi-trucks in the United States and internationally. The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in San Diego, California. TuSimple Holdings operates under Trucking classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1430 people.
TuSimple Holdings' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on TuSimple Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much TuSimple Holdings' price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize TuSimple Holdings' volatility to invest better

Higher TuSimple Holdings' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of TuSimple Holdings stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. TuSimple Holdings stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of TuSimple Holdings investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in TuSimple Holdings' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of TuSimple Holdings' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

TuSimple Holdings Investment Opportunity

TuSimple Holdings has a volatility of 11.87 and is 18.84 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 96 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than TuSimple Holdings. You can use TuSimple Holdings to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of TuSimple Holdings to be traded at $0.2375 in 90 days.

Significant diversification

The correlation between TuSimple Holdings and NYA is 0.05 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding TuSimple Holdings and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

TuSimple Holdings Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of TuSimple Holdings' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TuSimple Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of TuSimple Holdings stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar delisted stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

TuSimple Holdings Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against TuSimple Holdings as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. TuSimple Holdings' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, TuSimple Holdings' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to TuSimple Holdings.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

Other Consideration for investing in TuSimple Stock

If you are still planning to invest in TuSimple Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the TuSimple Holdings' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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