Waste Connections Stock Volatility

WCN Stock  USD 166.18  0.01  0.01%   
We consider Waste Connections very steady. Waste Connections shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.13, which attests that the company had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Waste Connections, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check out Waste Connections' Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2311, mean deviation of 0.6485, and Downside Deviation of 0.6475 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. Key indicators related to Waste Connections' volatility include:
720 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
720 Days Economic Sensitivity
Waste Connections Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Waste daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Waste's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Waste Connections volatility.
  

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Waste Connections' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Waste Connections' managers and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Waste Connections can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Waste Connections at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Waste stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Waste Connections' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with Waste Stock

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Moving against Waste Stock

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Waste Connections Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Waste Connections' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Waste stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Waste stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Waste Connections's beta of 0.57 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Waste Connections stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Waste Connections exhibits relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.15 and kurtosis of 9.16. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Waste Connections' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Waste Connections' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Waste Connections Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Waste Connections correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Waste Beta

    
  0.57  
Waste standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  0.93  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Waste Connections's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Waste Connections' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in waste stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Waste Connections.

Using Waste Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Waste Connections grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Waste Connections at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Waste Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Waste Connections' position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Waste Connections will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Waste Connections' PUT expiring on 2024-05-17

   Profit   
       Waste Connections Price At Expiration  

Current Waste Connections Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
2024-05-17 PUT at $170.0-0.64080.0417732024-05-175.2 - 6.16.5View
Put
2024-05-17 PUT at $165.0-0.42510.04092422024-05-172.6 - 3.43.1View
Put
2024-05-17 PUT at $160.0-0.25010.030622482024-05-171.5 - 1.81.6View
Put
2024-05-17 PUT at $155.0-0.12260.0192142024-05-170.1 - 0.950.66View
Put
2024-05-17 PUT at $150.0-0.08480.011932024-05-170.25 - 0.80.15View
View All Waste Connections Options

Waste Connections Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Waste Connections stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Waste Connections' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Waste Connections' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Waste Connections' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Waste Connections' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Waste Connections' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Waste Connections' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Waste Connections' to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Waste Connections Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Waste Connections Projected Return Density Against Market

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Waste Connections has a beta of 0.5699 . This entails as returns on the market go up, Waste Connections average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Waste Connections will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Waste Connections or Commercial Services & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Waste Connections' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Waste stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Waste Connections has an alpha of 0.0816, implying that it can generate a 0.0816 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Waste Connections' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how waste stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Waste Connections Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Waste Connections Stock Risk Measures

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Waste Connections is 743.7. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.87 and standard deviation of 0.93. The mean deviation of Waste Connections is currently at 0.64. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.57
σ
Overall volatility
0.93
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Waste Connections Stock Return Volatility

Waste Connections historical daily return volatility represents how much of Waste Connections stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm has volatility of 0.9334% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6372% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Waste Connections Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Waste Connections or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Waste Connections may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Waste's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Waste Connections and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Waste Connections fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Selling And Marketing Expenses9.1 M7.7 M
Market Cap38.4 B40.4 B
Waste Connections' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Waste Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Waste Connections' price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Waste Connections' volatility to invest better

Higher Waste Connections' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Waste Connections stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Waste Connections stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Waste Connections investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Waste Connections' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Waste Connections' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Waste Connections Investment Opportunity

Waste Connections has a volatility of 0.93 and is 1.45 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 8 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Waste Connections. You can use Waste Connections to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a normal upward fluctuation. Check odds of Waste Connections to be traded at $174.49 in 90 days.

Weak diversification

The correlation between Waste Connections and NYA is 0.38 (i.e., Weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Waste Connections and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Waste Connections Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Waste Connections' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Waste Connections' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Waste Connections stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Waste Connections Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Waste Connections as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Waste Connections' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Waste Connections' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Waste Connections.
When determining whether Waste Connections offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Waste Connections' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Waste Connections Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Waste Connections Stock:
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Waste Connections. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
To learn how to invest in Waste Stock, please use our How to Invest in Waste Connections guide.
Note that the Waste Connections information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Waste Connections' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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When running Waste Connections' price analysis, check to measure Waste Connections' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Waste Connections is operating at the current time. Most of Waste Connections' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Waste Connections' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Waste Connections' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Waste Connections to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Waste Connections' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Waste Connections. If investors know Waste will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Waste Connections listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.35)
Dividend Share
1.05
Earnings Share
2.96
Revenue Per Share
31.147
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.089
The market value of Waste Connections is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Waste that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Waste Connections' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Waste Connections' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Waste Connections' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Waste Connections' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Waste Connections' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Waste Connections is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Waste Connections' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.