ANTA Sports Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

ANPDY Stock  USD 252.75  7.39  2.84%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ANTA Sports Products on the next trading day is expected to be 261.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 344.85. ANTA Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Most investors in ANTA Sports cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the ANTA Sports' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets ANTA Sports' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for ANTA Sports is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of ANTA Sports Products value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

ANTA Sports Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 21st of June

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ANTA Sports Products on the next trading day is expected to be 261.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.65, mean absolute percentage error of 46.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 344.85.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ANTA Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ANTA Sports' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ANTA Sports Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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ANTA Sports Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ANTA Sports' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ANTA Sports' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 259.46 and 263.28, respectively. We have considered ANTA Sports' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
252.75
259.46
Downside
261.37
Expected Value
263.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ANTA Sports pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ANTA Sports pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.9461
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation5.6533
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0206
SAESum of the absolute errors344.8489
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of ANTA Sports Products. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict ANTA Sports. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for ANTA Sports

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ANTA Sports Products. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ANTA Sports' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
250.84252.75254.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
227.48263.70265.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
253.41274.35295.29
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ANTA Sports

For every potential investor in ANTA, whether a beginner or expert, ANTA Sports' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ANTA Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ANTA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ANTA Sports' price trends.

ANTA Sports Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ANTA Sports pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ANTA Sports could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ANTA Sports by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ANTA Sports Products Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ANTA Sports' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ANTA Sports' current price.

ANTA Sports Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ANTA Sports pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ANTA Sports shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ANTA Sports pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify ANTA Sports Products entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ANTA Sports Risk Indicators

The analysis of ANTA Sports' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ANTA Sports' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting anta pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for ANTA Pink Sheet Analysis

When running ANTA Sports' price analysis, check to measure ANTA Sports' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ANTA Sports is operating at the current time. Most of ANTA Sports' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ANTA Sports' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ANTA Sports' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ANTA Sports to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.