Armidian Karyatama Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| ARMY Stock | IDR 50.00 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Armidian Karyatama Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 50.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Armidian Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Armidian |
Most investors in Armidian Karyatama cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Armidian Karyatama's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Armidian Karyatama's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Armidian Karyatama price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X. Armidian Karyatama Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 21st of June
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Armidian Karyatama Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 50.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Armidian Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Armidian Karyatama's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Armidian Karyatama Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Armidian Karyatama | Armidian Karyatama Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Armidian Karyatama Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Armidian Karyatama's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Armidian Karyatama's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 50.00 and 50.00, respectively. We have considered Armidian Karyatama's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Armidian Karyatama stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Armidian Karyatama stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Armidian Karyatama
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Armidian Karyatama Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Armidian Karyatama's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Armidian Karyatama
For every potential investor in Armidian, whether a beginner or expert, Armidian Karyatama's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Armidian Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Armidian. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Armidian Karyatama's price trends.Armidian Karyatama Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Armidian Karyatama stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Armidian Karyatama could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Armidian Karyatama by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Armidian Karyatama Tbk Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Armidian Karyatama's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Armidian Karyatama's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Armidian Karyatama Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Armidian Karyatama stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Armidian Karyatama shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Armidian Karyatama stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Armidian Karyatama Tbk entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis
Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Armidian Karyatama Tbk using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.Build Optimal Portfolios
Align your risk with return expectations
Other Information on Investing in Armidian Stock
Armidian Karyatama financial ratios help investors to determine whether Armidian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Armidian with respect to the benefits of owning Armidian Karyatama security.