Fangdd Network Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| DUO Stock | USD 0.61 0.05 7.58% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Fangdd Network Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.10. Fangdd Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Fangdd Network's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Fangdd Network's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Fangdd Network fundamentals over time.
Fangdd |
Most investors in Fangdd Network cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Fangdd Network's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Fangdd Network's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Fangdd Network Group is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility. Fangdd Network 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 18th of June 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Fangdd Network Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.10.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fangdd Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fangdd Network's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fangdd Network Stock Forecast Pattern
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Fangdd Network Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fangdd Network's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fangdd Network's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 45.83, respectively. We have considered Fangdd Network's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fangdd Network stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fangdd Network stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.6056 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0025 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0895 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1115 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.1025 |
Predictive Modules for Fangdd Network
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fangdd Network Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fangdd Network's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Fangdd Network
For every potential investor in Fangdd, whether a beginner or expert, Fangdd Network's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fangdd Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fangdd. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fangdd Network's price trends.Fangdd Network Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fangdd Network stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fangdd Network could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fangdd Network by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fangdd Network Group Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fangdd Network's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fangdd Network's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fangdd Network Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fangdd Network stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fangdd Network shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fangdd Network stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fangdd Network Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Fangdd Network Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fangdd Network's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fangdd Network's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fangdd stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 11.68 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 7.47 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 40.38 | |||
| Variance | 1630.2 | |||
| Downside Variance | 85.55 | |||
| Semi Variance | 55.78 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (20.25) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectAdditional Information and Resources on Investing in Fangdd Stock
When determining whether Fangdd Network Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Fangdd Network's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Fangdd Network Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Fangdd Network Group Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fangdd Network to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Interactive Media & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fangdd Network. If investors know Fangdd will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fangdd Network listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.75) | Earnings Share (3.17) | Revenue Per Share 77.191 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.3 | Return On Assets (0.18) |
The market value of Fangdd Network Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fangdd that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fangdd Network's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fangdd Network's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fangdd Network's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fangdd Network's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fangdd Network's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fangdd Network is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fangdd Network's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.