Galaxy Gaming OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

GLXZ Stock  USD 1.50  0.07  4.90%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Galaxy Gaming on the next trading day is expected to be 1.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.23. Galaxy OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Most investors in Galaxy Gaming cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Galaxy Gaming's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Galaxy Gaming's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Galaxy Gaming simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Galaxy Gaming are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Galaxy Gaming prices get older.

Galaxy Gaming Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 11th of June 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Galaxy Gaming on the next trading day is expected to be 1.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Galaxy OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Galaxy Gaming's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Galaxy Gaming OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Galaxy Gaming Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Galaxy Gaming's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Galaxy Gaming's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.28, respectively. We have considered Galaxy Gaming's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.50
1.50
Expected Value
5.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Galaxy Gaming otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Galaxy Gaming otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.4707
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0025
MADMean absolute deviation0.0372
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0259
SAESum of the absolute errors2.23
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Galaxy Gaming forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Galaxy Gaming observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Galaxy Gaming

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Galaxy Gaming. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Galaxy Gaming's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.505.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.255.03
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Galaxy Gaming

For every potential investor in Galaxy, whether a beginner or expert, Galaxy Gaming's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Galaxy OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Galaxy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Galaxy Gaming's price trends.

Galaxy Gaming Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Galaxy Gaming otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Galaxy Gaming could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Galaxy Gaming by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Galaxy Gaming Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Galaxy Gaming's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Galaxy Gaming's current price.

Galaxy Gaming Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Galaxy Gaming otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Galaxy Gaming shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Galaxy Gaming otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Galaxy Gaming entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Galaxy Gaming Risk Indicators

The analysis of Galaxy Gaming's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Galaxy Gaming's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting galaxy otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Galaxy OTC Stock Analysis

When running Galaxy Gaming's price analysis, check to measure Galaxy Gaming's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Galaxy Gaming is operating at the current time. Most of Galaxy Gaming's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Galaxy Gaming's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Galaxy Gaming's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Galaxy Gaming to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.