Ethema Health Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

GRST Stock  USD 0.0004  0.0002  33.33%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ethema Health Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0005 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000058 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Ethema Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Most investors in Ethema Health cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Ethema Health's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Ethema Health's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Triple exponential smoothing for Ethema Health - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Ethema Health prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Ethema Health price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Ethema Health Corp.

Ethema Health Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of June 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ethema Health Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0005 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000058, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ethema Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ethema Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ethema Health Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Ethema Health Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ethema Health's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ethema Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000004 and 22.28, respectively. We have considered Ethema Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0004
0.000004
Downside
0.0005
Expected Value
22.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ethema Health pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ethema Health pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1554
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0034
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Ethema Health observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Ethema Health Corp observations.

Predictive Modules for Ethema Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ethema Health Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ethema Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000322.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000422.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00020.00040.0006
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Ethema Health

For every potential investor in Ethema, whether a beginner or expert, Ethema Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ethema Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ethema. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ethema Health's price trends.

Ethema Health Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ethema Health pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ethema Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ethema Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ethema Health Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ethema Health's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ethema Health's current price.

Ethema Health Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ethema Health pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ethema Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ethema Health pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Ethema Health Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ethema Health Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ethema Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ethema Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ethema pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Ethema Health

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ethema Health position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ethema Health will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Ethema Pink Sheet

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ethema Health could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ethema Health when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ethema Health - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ethema Health Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Ethema Health is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ethema Health moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ethema Health Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ethema Health can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Ethema Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Ethema Health's price analysis, check to measure Ethema Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ethema Health is operating at the current time. Most of Ethema Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ethema Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ethema Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ethema Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.