Hartford Financial Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| HIG Stock | USD 100.58 1.11 1.12% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Hartford Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 100.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 65.38. Hartford Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hartford Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Hartford |
Open Interest Against 2024-06-21 Hartford Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Hartford Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Hartford Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Hartford Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Hartford Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to Hartford Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Hartford Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Hartford. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Hartford Financial cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Hartford Financial's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Hartford Financial's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A two period moving average forecast for Hartford Financial is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility. Hartford Financial Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 17th of June 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Hartford Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 100.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.11, mean absolute percentage error of 1.96, and the sum of the absolute errors of 65.38.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hartford Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hartford Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hartford Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hartford Financial | Hartford Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Hartford Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hartford Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hartford Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 98.62 and 101.43, respectively. We have considered Hartford Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hartford Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hartford Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.1074 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.134 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1082 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0112 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 65.385 |
Predictive Modules for Hartford Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hartford Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hartford Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Hartford Financial
For every potential investor in Hartford, whether a beginner or expert, Hartford Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hartford Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hartford. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hartford Financial's price trends.Hartford Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hartford Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hartford Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hartford Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hartford Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hartford Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hartford Financial's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Hartford Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hartford Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hartford Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hartford Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hartford Financial Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hartford Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hartford Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hartford Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hartford stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9482 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Variance | 1.63 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.23 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.87 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.00) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
| NXPI | NXP Semiconductors NV | |
| MSFT | Microsoft | |
| DIS | Walt Disney | |
| XLK | Technology Select Sector | |
| BOTZ | Global X Robotics |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Hartford Stock
When determining whether Hartford Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Hartford Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Hartford Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Hartford Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hartford Financial to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Is Multi-line Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hartford Financial. If investors know Hartford will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hartford Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.488 | Dividend Share 1.79 | Earnings Share 8.78 | Revenue Per Share 82.675 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.086 |
The market value of Hartford Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hartford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hartford Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hartford Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hartford Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hartford Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hartford Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hartford Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hartford Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.