Nexon Co Pink Sheet Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

NEXOY Stock  USD 15.57  0.52  3.23%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Nexon Co Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 15.84 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.55  and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.91. Nexon Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nexon Co stock prices and determine the direction of Nexon Co Ltd's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nexon Co's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nexon Co to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Nexon Co cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Nexon Co's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Nexon Co's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Nexon Co Ltd is based on a synthetically constructed Nexon Codaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Nexon Co 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of May

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Nexon Co Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 15.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55, mean absolute percentage error of 0.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.91.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nexon Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nexon Co's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nexon Co Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Nexon Co Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nexon Co's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nexon Co's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.39 and 20.29, respectively. We have considered Nexon Co's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.57
15.84
Expected Value
20.29
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nexon Co pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nexon Co pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria82.3407
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2614
MADMean absolute deviation0.5454
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0336
SAESum of the absolute errors22.9055
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Nexon Co 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Nexon Co

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nexon Co. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nexon Co's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.6616.0920.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.7314.1618.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.8015.8916.99
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nexon Co. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nexon Co's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nexon Co's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nexon Co.

Other Forecasting Options for Nexon Co

For every potential investor in Nexon, whether a beginner or expert, Nexon Co's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nexon Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nexon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nexon Co's price trends.

Nexon Co Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nexon Co pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nexon Co could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nexon Co by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nexon Co Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nexon Co's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nexon Co's current price.

Nexon Co Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nexon Co pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nexon Co shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nexon Co pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Nexon Co Ltd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nexon Co Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nexon Co's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nexon Co's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nexon pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nexon Co to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

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When running Nexon Co's price analysis, check to measure Nexon Co's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nexon Co is operating at the current time. Most of Nexon Co's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nexon Co's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nexon Co's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nexon Co to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Nexon Co's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nexon Co is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nexon Co's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.