Annaly Capital Preferred Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| NLY-PF Preferred Stock | USD 25.78 0.01 0.04% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Annaly Capital Management on the next trading day is expected to be 25.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.06. Annaly Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Annaly Capital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Annaly |
Annaly Capital Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of July
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Annaly Capital Management on the next trading day is expected to be 25.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Annaly Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Annaly Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Annaly Capital Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern
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Annaly Capital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Annaly Capital's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Annaly Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.59 and 26.12, respectively. We have considered Annaly Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Annaly Capital preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Annaly Capital preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.5601 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0501 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.002 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.0552 |
Predictive Modules for Annaly Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Annaly Capital Management. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Annaly Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Annaly Capital
For every potential investor in Annaly, whether a beginner or expert, Annaly Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Annaly Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Annaly. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Annaly Capital's price trends.View Annaly Capital Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Annaly Capital Management Technical and Predictive Analytics
The preferred stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Annaly Capital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Annaly Capital's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Annaly Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Annaly Capital preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Annaly Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Annaly Capital preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Annaly Capital Management entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 84.43 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.125 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 25.79 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 25.79 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 |
Annaly Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Annaly Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Annaly Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting annaly preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1934 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2542 | |||
| Variance | 0.0646 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0666 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.04) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.24) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in Annaly Preferred Stock
Annaly Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Annaly Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Annaly with respect to the benefits of owning Annaly Capital security.