PVH Corp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| PVH Stock | EUR 106.60 0.15 0.14% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of PVH Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 108.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 120.41. PVH Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast PVH Corp stock prices and determine the direction of PVH Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of PVH Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PVH Corp to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in PVH Stock please use our How to Invest in PVH Corp guide.PVH |
Most investors in PVH Corp cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the PVH Corp's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets PVH Corp's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for PVH Corp is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of PVH Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period. PVH Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 19th of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of PVH Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 101.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.21, mean absolute percentage error of 23.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 195.82.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PVH Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PVH Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PVH Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
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PVH Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PVH Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PVH Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 98.04 and 104.61, respectively. We have considered PVH Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PVH Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PVH Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.25 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.2102 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0286 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 195.8243 |
Predictive Modules for PVH Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PVH Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PVH Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for PVH Corp
For every potential investor in PVH, whether a beginner or expert, PVH Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PVH Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PVH. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PVH Corp's price trends.PVH Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PVH Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PVH Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PVH Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PVH Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PVH Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PVH Corp's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PVH Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PVH Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PVH Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PVH Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PVH Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 106.6 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 106.6 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.07) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.15) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 45.96 |
PVH Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of PVH Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PVH Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pvh stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.28 | |||
| Variance | 10.77 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether PVH Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of PVH Corp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Pvh Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Pvh Corp Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PVH Corp to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in PVH Stock please use our How to Invest in PVH Corp guide.You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Complementary Tools for PVH Stock analysis
When running PVH Corp's price analysis, check to measure PVH Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PVH Corp is operating at the current time. Most of PVH Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PVH Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PVH Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PVH Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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