Synchronoss Technologies Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| SNCR Stock | USD 6.45 0.14 2.22% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Synchronoss Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 6.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.02. Synchronoss Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Synchronoss Technologies stock prices and determine the direction of Synchronoss Technologies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Synchronoss Technologies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Synchronoss Technologies' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Synchronoss Technologies' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Synchronoss Technologies fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Synchronoss Technologies to cross-verify your projections. Synchronoss |
Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 Synchronoss Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Synchronoss Technologies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Synchronoss Technologies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Synchronoss Technologies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Synchronoss Technologies' open interest, investors have to compare it to Synchronoss Technologies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Synchronoss Technologies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Synchronoss. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Synchronoss Technologies cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Synchronoss Technologies' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Synchronoss Technologies' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Triple exponential smoothing for Synchronoss Technologies - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Synchronoss Technologies prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Synchronoss Technologies price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Synchronoss Technologies. Synchronoss Technologies Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Synchronoss Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 6.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.42, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.02.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Synchronoss Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Synchronoss Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Synchronoss Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Synchronoss Technologies | Synchronoss Technologies Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Synchronoss Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Synchronoss Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Synchronoss Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.06 and 13.47, respectively. We have considered Synchronoss Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Synchronoss Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Synchronoss Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0263 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4003 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0438 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 24.02 |
Predictive Modules for Synchronoss Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Synchronoss Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Synchronoss Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Synchronoss Technologies
For every potential investor in Synchronoss, whether a beginner or expert, Synchronoss Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Synchronoss Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Synchronoss. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Synchronoss Technologies' price trends.Synchronoss Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Synchronoss Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Synchronoss Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Synchronoss Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Synchronoss Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Synchronoss Technologies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Synchronoss Technologies' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Synchronoss Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Synchronoss Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Synchronoss Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Synchronoss Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Synchronoss Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Synchronoss Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Synchronoss Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Synchronoss Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting synchronoss stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.71 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.15 | |||
| Variance | 51.18 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Synchronoss Technologies in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Synchronoss Technologies' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Synchronoss Technologies options trading.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
| LAAC | Lithium Americas Corp | |
| F | Ford Motor | |
| CHPT | ChargePoint Holdings | |
| AXL | American Axle Manufacturing | |
| ICLN | iShares Global Clean |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Synchronoss Technologies to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Synchronoss Stock, please use our How to Invest in Synchronoss Technologies guide.Note that the Synchronoss Technologies information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Synchronoss Technologies' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Synchronoss Stock analysis
When running Synchronoss Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Synchronoss Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Synchronoss Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Synchronoss Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Synchronoss Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Synchronoss Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Synchronoss Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format | |
| Commodity Channel Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum | |
| Balance Of Power Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios | |
| Stocks Directory Find actively traded stocks across global markets | |
| Money Managers Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world | |
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators |
Is Synchronoss Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Synchronoss Technologies. If investors know Synchronoss will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Synchronoss Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (4.52) | Revenue Per Share 16.849 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.33) | Return On Assets (0.01) | Return On Equity (0.28) |
The market value of Synchronoss Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Synchronoss that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Synchronoss Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Synchronoss Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Synchronoss Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Synchronoss Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Synchronoss Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Synchronoss Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Synchronoss Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.