TIM Participacoes Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

TIMB Stock  USD 14.51  0.10  0.69%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of TIM Participacoes SA on the next trading day is expected to be 15.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.74. TIM Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast TIM Participacoes stock prices and determine the direction of TIM Participacoes SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TIM Participacoes' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, TIM Participacoes' Payables Turnover is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Receivables Turnover is expected to grow to 4.73, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 25.18. . As of June 20, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 2.3 M. In addition to that, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to decline to about 1.9 B.

Open Interest Against 2024-06-21 TIM Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast TIM Participacoes' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in TIM Participacoes' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for TIM Participacoes stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current TIM Participacoes' open interest, investors have to compare it to TIM Participacoes' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of TIM Participacoes is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in TIM. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in TIM Participacoes cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the TIM Participacoes' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets TIM Participacoes' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for TIM Participacoes SA is based on a synthetically constructed TIM Participacoesdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

TIM Participacoes 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 21st of June

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of TIM Participacoes SA on the next trading day is expected to be 15.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68, mean absolute percentage error of 0.62, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.74.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TIM Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TIM Participacoes' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TIM Participacoes Stock Forecast Pattern

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TIM Participacoes Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TIM Participacoes' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TIM Participacoes' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.52 and 17.02, respectively. We have considered TIM Participacoes' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.51
15.27
Expected Value
17.02
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TIM Participacoes stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TIM Participacoes stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria80.88
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.5283
MADMean absolute deviation0.6765
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0431
SAESum of the absolute errors27.738
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. TIM Participacoes 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for TIM Participacoes

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TIM Participacoes. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TIM Participacoes' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.7914.5316.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.0616.3518.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.0015.5017.00
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.7217.2719.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TIM Participacoes. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TIM Participacoes' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TIM Participacoes' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TIM Participacoes.

Other Forecasting Options for TIM Participacoes

For every potential investor in TIM, whether a beginner or expert, TIM Participacoes' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TIM Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TIM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TIM Participacoes' price trends.

TIM Participacoes Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TIM Participacoes stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TIM Participacoes could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TIM Participacoes by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TIM Participacoes Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TIM Participacoes' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TIM Participacoes' current price.

TIM Participacoes Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TIM Participacoes stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TIM Participacoes shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TIM Participacoes stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TIM Participacoes SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TIM Participacoes Risk Indicators

The analysis of TIM Participacoes' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TIM Participacoes' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tim stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in TIM Stock

When determining whether TIM Participacoes offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of TIM Participacoes' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tim Participacoes Sa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tim Participacoes Sa Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TIM Participacoes to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Wireless Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TIM Participacoes. If investors know TIM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TIM Participacoes listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.235
Dividend Share
0.649
Earnings Share
1.09
Revenue Per Share
50.17
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.081
The market value of TIM Participacoes is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TIM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TIM Participacoes' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TIM Participacoes' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TIM Participacoes' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TIM Participacoes' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TIM Participacoes' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TIM Participacoes is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TIM Participacoes' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.