TV Thunder Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

TVT Stock  THB 0.47  0.01  2.08%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TV Thunder Public on the next trading day is expected to be 0.47 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.02  and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.43. TVT Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast TV Thunder stock prices and determine the direction of TV Thunder Public's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TV Thunder's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TV Thunder to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in TV Thunder cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the TV Thunder's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets TV Thunder's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Triple exponential smoothing for TV Thunder - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When TV Thunder prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in TV Thunder price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of TV Thunder Public.

TV Thunder Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of May

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TV Thunder Public on the next trading day is expected to be 0.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.43.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TVT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TV Thunder's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TV Thunder Stock Forecast Pattern

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TV Thunder Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TV Thunder's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TV Thunder's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 6.55, respectively. We have considered TV Thunder's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.47
0.47
Expected Value
6.55
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TV Thunder stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TV Thunder stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0049
MADMean absolute deviation0.0243
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0433
SAESum of the absolute errors1.4332
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past TV Thunder observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older TV Thunder Public observations.

Predictive Modules for TV Thunder

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TV Thunder Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TV Thunder's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.476.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.456.53
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TV Thunder. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TV Thunder's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TV Thunder's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TV Thunder Public.

Other Forecasting Options for TV Thunder

For every potential investor in TVT, whether a beginner or expert, TV Thunder's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TVT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TVT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TV Thunder's price trends.

TV Thunder Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TV Thunder stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TV Thunder could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TV Thunder by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TV Thunder Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TV Thunder's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TV Thunder's current price.

TV Thunder Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TV Thunder stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TV Thunder shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TV Thunder stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TV Thunder Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TV Thunder Risk Indicators

The analysis of TV Thunder's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TV Thunder's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tvt stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as TV Thunder Public using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Align your risk with return expectations

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TV Thunder to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

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When running TV Thunder's price analysis, check to measure TV Thunder's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TV Thunder is operating at the current time. Most of TV Thunder's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TV Thunder's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TV Thunder's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TV Thunder to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between TV Thunder's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TV Thunder is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TV Thunder's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.