Wizz Air Pink Sheet Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

WZZAF Stock  USD 28.09  0.00  0.00%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Wizz Air Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 28.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.53. Wizz Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Wizz Air's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Most investors in Wizz Air cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Wizz Air's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Wizz Air's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Wizz Air is based on an artificially constructed time series of Wizz Air daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Wizz Air 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of June 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Wizz Air Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 28.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67, mean absolute percentage error of 0.97, and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.53.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wizz Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wizz Air's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Wizz Air Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Wizz Air Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Wizz Air's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wizz Air's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.76 and 30.42, respectively. We have considered Wizz Air's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
28.09
28.09
Expected Value
30.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wizz Air pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wizz Air pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.3767
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.084
MADMean absolute deviation0.6703
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0252
SAESum of the absolute errors35.5275
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Wizz Air Holdings 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Wizz Air

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wizz Air Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wizz Air's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.7728.0930.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.8423.1630.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
26.6027.5428.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wizz Air. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wizz Air's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wizz Air's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wizz Air Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for Wizz Air

For every potential investor in Wizz, whether a beginner or expert, Wizz Air's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wizz Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wizz. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wizz Air's price trends.

Wizz Air Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wizz Air pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wizz Air could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wizz Air by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Wizz Air Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Wizz Air's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Wizz Air's current price.

Wizz Air Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wizz Air pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wizz Air shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wizz Air pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Wizz Air Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Wizz Air Risk Indicators

The analysis of Wizz Air's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wizz Air's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wizz pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Wizz Pink Sheet

Wizz Air financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wizz Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wizz with respect to the benefits of owning Wizz Air security.