Zim Laboratories Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

ZIMLAB Stock   111.40  1.97  1.80%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Zim Laboratories Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 111.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 131.39. Zim Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Zim Laboratories stock prices and determine the direction of Zim Laboratories Limited's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Zim Laboratories' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Zim Laboratories' Other Current Liabilities is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Accounts Payable is expected to grow to about 628.7 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 3.4 B.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Zim Laboratories Limited is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Zim Laboratories 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 22nd of September

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Zim Laboratories Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 111.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.31, mean absolute percentage error of 8.89, and the sum of the absolute errors of 131.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Zim Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Zim Laboratories' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Zim Laboratories Stock Forecast Pattern

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Zim Laboratories Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Zim Laboratories' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Zim Laboratories' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 108.74 and 113.69, respectively. We have considered Zim Laboratories' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
111.40
108.74
Downside
111.22
Expected Value
113.69
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Zim Laboratories stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Zim Laboratories stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.9436
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0993
MADMean absolute deviation2.3051
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0204
SAESum of the absolute errors131.3925
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Zim Laboratories. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Zim Laboratories Limited and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Zim Laboratories

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zim Laboratories. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Zim Laboratories' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
108.81111.28113.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
98.65101.12122.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
105.80113.84121.88
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Zim Laboratories. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Zim Laboratories' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Zim Laboratories' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Zim Laboratories.

Other Forecasting Options for Zim Laboratories

For every potential investor in Zim, whether a beginner or expert, Zim Laboratories' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Zim Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Zim. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Zim Laboratories' price trends.

Zim Laboratories Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Zim Laboratories stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Zim Laboratories could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Zim Laboratories by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Zim Laboratories Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Zim Laboratories' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Zim Laboratories' current price.

Zim Laboratories Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Zim Laboratories stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Zim Laboratories shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Zim Laboratories stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Zim Laboratories Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Zim Laboratories Risk Indicators

The analysis of Zim Laboratories' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Zim Laboratories' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zim stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Zim Stock

Zim Laboratories financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zim Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zim with respect to the benefits of owning Zim Laboratories security.