Saurer Intelligent (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.43
| 600545 Stock | 2.43 0.90 58.82% |
Saurer |
Saurer Intelligent Target Price Odds to finish over 2.43
The tendency of Saurer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2.43 | 90 days | 2.43 | about 59.87 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Saurer Intelligent to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 59.87 (This Saurer Intelligent Technology probability density function shows the probability of Saurer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Saurer Intelligent Technology has a beta of -0.0603. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Saurer Intelligent are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Saurer Intelligent Technology is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Saurer Intelligent Technology has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Saurer Intelligent Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Saurer Intelligent
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Saurer Intelligent. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Saurer Intelligent's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Saurer Intelligent Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Saurer Intelligent is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Saurer Intelligent's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Saurer Intelligent Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Saurer Intelligent within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Saurer Intelligent Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Saurer Intelligent for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Saurer Intelligent can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Saurer Intelligent had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Saurer Intelligent Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Saurer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Saurer Intelligent's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Saurer Intelligent's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.8 B |
Saurer Intelligent Technical Analysis
Saurer Intelligent's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Saurer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Saurer Intelligent Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Saurer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Saurer Intelligent Predictive Forecast Models
Saurer Intelligent's time-series forecasting models is one of many Saurer Intelligent's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Saurer Intelligent's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Saurer Intelligent
Checking the ongoing alerts about Saurer Intelligent for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Saurer Intelligent help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Saurer Intelligent had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Saurer Stock
Saurer Intelligent financial ratios help investors to determine whether Saurer Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Saurer with respect to the benefits of owning Saurer Intelligent security.