Agilent Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 129.85

A Stock  USD 129.85  0.72  0.55%   
Agilent Technologies' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Agilent Technologies. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Agilent Technologies based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Agilent Technologies over a specific time period. For example, 2024-06-21 CALL at $130.0 is a CALL option contract on Agilent Technologies' common stock with a strick price of 130.0 expiring on 2024-06-21. The contract was last traded on 2024-06-13 at 11:48:07 for $2.1 and, as of today, has 6 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.3, and an ask price of $1.5. The implied volatility as of the 15th of June 2024 is 21.47. View All Agilent options

Closest to current price Agilent long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Agilent Technologies' future price is the expected price of Agilent Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Agilent Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Agilent Technologies Backtesting, Agilent Technologies Valuation, Agilent Technologies Correlation, Agilent Technologies Hype Analysis, Agilent Technologies Volatility, Agilent Technologies History as well as Agilent Technologies Performance.
For information on how to trade Agilent Stock refer to our How to Trade Agilent Stock guide.
The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 32.35, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 2.12. Please specify Agilent Technologies' target price for which you would like Agilent Technologies odds to be computed.

Agilent Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 129.85

The tendency of Agilent Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 129.85 90 days 129.85 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Agilent Technologies to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Agilent Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Agilent Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.37 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Agilent Technologies will likely underperform. Additionally Agilent Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Agilent Technologies Price Density   

Predictive Modules for Agilent Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Agilent Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Agilent Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
19 Analysts
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Agilent Technologies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Agilent Technologies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Agilent Technologies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Agilent Technologies.

Agilent Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Agilent Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Agilent Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Agilent Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Agilent Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
Alpha over NYSE Composite
Beta against NYSE Composite1.37
Overall volatility
Information ratio -0.09

Agilent Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Agilent Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Agilent Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Agilent Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 24th of April 2024 Agilent Technologies paid $ 0.236 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from Disposition of 2522 shares by Riemann Angelica of Agilent Technologies at 123.99 subject to Rule 16b-3

Agilent Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Agilent Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Agilent Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agilent Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding296 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B

Agilent Technologies Technical Analysis

Agilent Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Agilent Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Agilent Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Agilent Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Agilent Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

Agilent Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Agilent Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Agilent Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Agilent Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Agilent Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Agilent Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Agilent Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 24th of April 2024 Agilent Technologies paid $ 0.236 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from Disposition of 2522 shares by Riemann Angelica of Agilent Technologies at 123.99 subject to Rule 16b-3

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Agilent Stock

When determining whether Agilent Technologies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Agilent Technologies' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Agilent Technologies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Agilent Technologies Stock:
Is Life Sciences Tools & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Agilent Technologies. If investors know Agilent will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Agilent Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
Dividend Share
Earnings Share
Revenue Per Share
Quarterly Revenue Growth
The market value of Agilent Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Agilent that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Agilent Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Agilent Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Agilent Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Agilent Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Agilent Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Agilent Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Agilent Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.