Anaptysbio Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23.12
| ANAB Stock | USD 26.58 0.24 0.91% |
Closest to current price AnaptysBio long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
AnaptysBio |
AnaptysBio Target Price Odds to finish over 23.12
The tendency of AnaptysBio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 23.12 in 90 days |
| 26.58 | 90 days | 23.12 | about 50.58 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AnaptysBio to stay above $ 23.12 in 90 days from now is about 50.58 (This AnaptysBio probability density function shows the probability of AnaptysBio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AnaptysBio price to stay between $ 23.12 and its current price of $26.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.62 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days AnaptysBio has a beta of 1.0. This suggests AnaptysBio market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, AnaptysBio is expected to follow. Additionally AnaptysBio has an alpha of 0.2002, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AnaptysBio Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for AnaptysBio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AnaptysBio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AnaptysBio's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AnaptysBio Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AnaptysBio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AnaptysBio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AnaptysBio, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AnaptysBio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
AnaptysBio Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AnaptysBio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AnaptysBio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AnaptysBio had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 17.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (163.62 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (78.51 M). | |
| AnaptysBio currently holds about 442.15 M in cash with (120.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 15.66. | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: AnaptysBio Soars 14.3 percent Is Further Upside Left in the Stock |
AnaptysBio Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AnaptysBio Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AnaptysBio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AnaptysBio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 390.9 M |
AnaptysBio Technical Analysis
AnaptysBio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AnaptysBio Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AnaptysBio. In general, you should focus on analyzing AnaptysBio Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AnaptysBio Predictive Forecast Models
AnaptysBio's time-series forecasting models is one of many AnaptysBio's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AnaptysBio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AnaptysBio
Checking the ongoing alerts about AnaptysBio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AnaptysBio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AnaptysBio had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 17.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (163.62 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (78.51 M). | |
| AnaptysBio currently holds about 442.15 M in cash with (120.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 15.66. | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: AnaptysBio Soars 14.3 percent Is Further Upside Left in the Stock |
Check out AnaptysBio Backtesting, AnaptysBio Valuation, AnaptysBio Correlation, AnaptysBio Hype Analysis, AnaptysBio Volatility, AnaptysBio History as well as AnaptysBio Performance. For information on how to trade AnaptysBio Stock refer to our How to Trade AnaptysBio Stock guide.Note that the AnaptysBio information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AnaptysBio's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for AnaptysBio Stock analysis
When running AnaptysBio's price analysis, check to measure AnaptysBio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AnaptysBio is operating at the current time. Most of AnaptysBio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AnaptysBio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AnaptysBio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AnaptysBio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AnaptysBio's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AnaptysBio. If investors know AnaptysBio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AnaptysBio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (6.08) | Revenue Per Share 0.637 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.323 | Return On Assets (0.18) | Return On Equity (0.93) |
The market value of AnaptysBio is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AnaptysBio that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AnaptysBio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AnaptysBio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AnaptysBio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AnaptysBio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AnaptysBio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AnaptysBio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AnaptysBio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.