Amarc Resources Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.11
| AXREF Stock | USD 0.11 0.00 0.00% |
Amarc |
Amarc Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 0.11
The tendency of Amarc OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.11 | 90 days | 0.11 | about 28.5 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amarc Resources to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 28.5 (This Amarc Resources probability density function shows the probability of Amarc OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Amarc Resources has a beta of 0.24. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Amarc Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amarc Resources will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amarc Resources has an alpha of 0.5669, implying that it can generate a 0.57 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Amarc Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Amarc Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amarc Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amarc Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Amarc Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amarc Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amarc Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amarc Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amarc Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.57 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Amarc Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amarc Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amarc Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Amarc Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Amarc Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Amarc Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (363.81 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Amarc Resources has accumulated about 2.66 M in cash with (237.3 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Amarc Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amarc OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amarc Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amarc Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 186.6 M | |
| Shares Float | 135.5 M |
Amarc Resources Technical Analysis
Amarc Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amarc OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amarc Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amarc OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Amarc Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Amarc Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Amarc Resources' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amarc Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Amarc Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Amarc Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amarc Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Amarc Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Amarc Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Amarc Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (363.81 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Amarc Resources has accumulated about 2.66 M in cash with (237.3 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Amarc OTC Stock
Amarc Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amarc OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amarc with respect to the benefits of owning Amarc Resources security.