Big Camera (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.41

BIG Stock  THB 0.41  0.01  2.38%   
Big Camera's future price is the expected price of Big Camera instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Big Camera performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Big Camera Backtesting, Big Camera Valuation, Big Camera Correlation, Big Camera Hype Analysis, Big Camera Volatility, Big Camera History as well as Big Camera Performance.
  
Please specify Big Camera's target price for which you would like Big Camera odds to be computed.

Big Camera Target Price Odds to finish over 0.41

The tendency of Big Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.41 90 days 0.41 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Big Camera to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Big Camera probability density function shows the probability of Big Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Big Camera has a beta of -0.0968 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Big Camera are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Big Camera is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Big Camera has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Big Camera Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Big Camera

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Big Camera. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Big Camera's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.412.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.362.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.412.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.410.430.44
Details

Big Camera Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Big Camera is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Big Camera's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Big Camera, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Big Camera within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.19
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Big Camera Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Big Camera for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Big Camera can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Big Camera generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Big Camera has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 2 B. Net Loss for the year was (104.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 423.02 M.
About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Big Camera Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Big Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Big Camera's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Big Camera's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.5 B

Big Camera Technical Analysis

Big Camera's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Big Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Big Camera. In general, you should focus on analyzing Big Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Big Camera Predictive Forecast Models

Big Camera's time-series forecasting models is one of many Big Camera's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Big Camera's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Big Camera

Checking the ongoing alerts about Big Camera for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Big Camera help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Big Camera generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Big Camera has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 2 B. Net Loss for the year was (104.01 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 423.02 M.
About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Big Stock

Big Camera financial ratios help investors to determine whether Big Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Big with respect to the benefits of owning Big Camera security.