Mr Cooper Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 77.00

COOP Stock  USD 80.10  1.45  1.84%   
Mr Cooper's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Mr Cooper Group. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Mr Cooper based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Mr Cooper Group over a specific time period. For example, 2024-05-17 CALL at $80.0 is a CALL option contract on Mr Cooper's common stock with a strick price of 80.0 expiring on 2024-05-17. The contract was last traded on 2024-05-03 at 11:30:48 for $1.7 and, as of today, has 12 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.45, and an ask price of $1.7. The implied volatility as of the 5th of May is 26.09. View All COOP options

Closest to current price COOP long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Mr Cooper's future price is the expected price of Mr Cooper instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mr Cooper Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mr Cooper Backtesting, Mr Cooper Valuation, Mr Cooper Correlation, Mr Cooper Hype Analysis, Mr Cooper Volatility, Mr Cooper History as well as Mr Cooper Performance.
  
At this time, Mr Cooper's Price To Sales Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 05/05/2024, Price Sales Ratio is likely to grow to 4.86, while Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 8.30. Please specify Mr Cooper's target price for which you would like Mr Cooper odds to be computed.

Mr Cooper Target Price Odds to finish below 77.00

The tendency of COOP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 77.00  or more in 90 days
 80.10 90 days 77.00 
about 77.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mr Cooper to drop to $ 77.00  or more in 90 days from now is about 77.72 (This Mr Cooper Group probability density function shows the probability of COOP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mr Cooper Group price to stay between $ 77.00  and its current price of $80.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.26 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.42 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Mr Cooper will likely underperform. Additionally Mr Cooper Group has an alpha of 0.1677, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mr Cooper Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mr Cooper

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mr Cooper Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mr Cooper's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
78.7680.4182.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
77.4679.1180.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
80.0981.7483.39
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
61.3367.4074.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mr Cooper. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mr Cooper's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mr Cooper's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mr Cooper Group.

Mr Cooper Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mr Cooper is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mr Cooper's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mr Cooper Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mr Cooper within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.17
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.42
σ
Overall volatility
3.47
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Mr Cooper Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mr Cooper for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mr Cooper Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Mr. Cooper Group Inc. CEO Sells 1969750.00 in Stock - Defense World

Mr Cooper Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of COOP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mr Cooper's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mr Cooper's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding68.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments740 M

Mr Cooper Technical Analysis

Mr Cooper's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. COOP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mr Cooper Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing COOP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mr Cooper Predictive Forecast Models

Mr Cooper's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mr Cooper's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mr Cooper's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mr Cooper Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mr Cooper for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mr Cooper Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Mr. Cooper Group Inc. CEO Sells 1969750.00 in Stock - Defense World
When determining whether Mr Cooper Group is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if COOP Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Mr Cooper Group Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Mr Cooper Group Stock:

Complementary Tools for COOP Stock analysis

When running Mr Cooper's price analysis, check to measure Mr Cooper's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mr Cooper is operating at the current time. Most of Mr Cooper's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mr Cooper's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mr Cooper's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mr Cooper to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Mr Cooper's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mr Cooper. If investors know COOP will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mr Cooper listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.25
Earnings Share
9.51
Revenue Per Share
30.739
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.709
Return On Assets
0.0384
The market value of Mr Cooper Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of COOP that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mr Cooper's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mr Cooper's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mr Cooper's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mr Cooper's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mr Cooper's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mr Cooper is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mr Cooper's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.