Calamos Longshort Equity Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.46
| CPZ Stock | USD 15.46 0.10 0.64% |
Calamos |
Calamos LongShort Target Price Odds to finish over 15.46
The tendency of Calamos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 15.46 | 90 days | 15.46 | about 14.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Calamos LongShort to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 14.92 (This Calamos LongShort Equity probability density function shows the probability of Calamos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Calamos LongShort has a beta of 0.4 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Calamos LongShort average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Calamos LongShort Equity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Calamos LongShort Equity has an alpha of 0.0313, implying that it can generate a 0.0313 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Calamos LongShort Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Calamos LongShort
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Calamos LongShort Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Calamos LongShort's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Calamos LongShort Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Calamos LongShort is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Calamos LongShort's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Calamos LongShort Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Calamos LongShort within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Calamos LongShort Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Calamos LongShort for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Calamos LongShort Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 18th of September 2024 Calamos LongShort paid $ 0.14 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Insider Sale Vice President John Koudounis Sells 24,7 Shares of Calamos LS Equity ... |
Calamos LongShort Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Calamos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Calamos LongShort's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Calamos LongShort's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.6 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 33 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 1.68 |
Calamos LongShort Technical Analysis
Calamos LongShort's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Calamos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Calamos LongShort Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Calamos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Calamos LongShort Predictive Forecast Models
Calamos LongShort's time-series forecasting models is one of many Calamos LongShort's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Calamos LongShort's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Calamos LongShort Equity
Checking the ongoing alerts about Calamos LongShort for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Calamos LongShort Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 18th of September 2024 Calamos LongShort paid $ 0.14 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Insider Sale Vice President John Koudounis Sells 24,7 Shares of Calamos LS Equity ... |
Additional Tools for Calamos Stock Analysis
When running Calamos LongShort's price analysis, check to measure Calamos LongShort's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Calamos LongShort is operating at the current time. Most of Calamos LongShort's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Calamos LongShort's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Calamos LongShort's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Calamos LongShort to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.