JC DECAUX (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.98
| DCS Stock | EUR 19.98 0.04 0.20% |
DCS |
JC DECAUX Target Price Odds to finish over 19.98
The tendency of DCS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 19.98 | 90 days | 19.98 | about 40.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JC DECAUX to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 40.13 (This JC DECAUX probability density function shows the probability of DCS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JC DECAUX has a beta of 0.0133 suggesting as returns on the market go up, JC DECAUX average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JC DECAUX will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally JC DECAUX has an alpha of 0.1956, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). JC DECAUX Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for JC DECAUX
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JC DECAUX. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of JC DECAUX's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
JC DECAUX Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JC DECAUX is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JC DECAUX's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JC DECAUX, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JC DECAUX within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
JC DECAUX Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DCS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JC DECAUX's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JC DECAUX's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 212.8 M | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0307 | |
| Short Term Investments | 63.6 M |
JC DECAUX Technical Analysis
JC DECAUX's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DCS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JC DECAUX. In general, you should focus on analyzing DCS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JC DECAUX Predictive Forecast Models
JC DECAUX's time-series forecasting models is one of many JC DECAUX's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JC DECAUX's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards JC DECAUX in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, JC DECAUX's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from JC DECAUX options trading.
Other Information on Investing in DCS Stock
JC DECAUX financial ratios help investors to determine whether DCS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DCS with respect to the benefits of owning JC DECAUX security.