Delaware International Value Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 13.95
| DEGIX Fund | USD 13.95 0.00 0.00% |
Delaware |
Delaware International Target Price Odds to finish over 13.95
The tendency of Delaware Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 13.95 | 90 days | 13.95 | about 46.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Delaware International to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 46.02 (This Delaware International Value probability density function shows the probability of Delaware Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Delaware International has a beta of 0.87 suggesting Delaware International Value market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Delaware International is expected to follow. Additionally Delaware International Value has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Delaware International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Delaware International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delaware International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Delaware International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Delaware International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Delaware International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Delaware International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Delaware International Value, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Delaware International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Delaware International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Delaware International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Delaware International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: DigixDAO Votes to Liquidate 64M Treasury - Yahoo Movies UK | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Delaware International retains 99.79% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Delaware International Technical Analysis
Delaware International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Delaware Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Delaware International Value. In general, you should focus on analyzing Delaware Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Delaware International Predictive Forecast Models
Delaware International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Delaware International's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Delaware International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Delaware International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Delaware International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Delaware International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: DigixDAO Votes to Liquidate 64M Treasury - Yahoo Movies UK | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Delaware International retains 99.79% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out Delaware International Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Delaware International Correlation, Delaware International Hype Analysis, Delaware International Volatility, Delaware International History as well as Delaware International Performance. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.