Djurslands Bank (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 438.81
| DJUR Stock | DKK 515.00 5.00 0.96% |
Djurslands |
Djurslands Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 438.81
The tendency of Djurslands Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 438.81 or more in 90 days |
| 515.00 | 90 days | 438.81 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Djurslands Bank to drop to kr 438.81 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Djurslands Bank probability density function shows the probability of Djurslands Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Djurslands Bank price to stay between kr 438.81 and its current price of kr515.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.64 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Djurslands Bank has a beta of 0.44 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Djurslands Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Djurslands Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Djurslands Bank has an alpha of 0.045, implying that it can generate a 0.045 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Djurslands Bank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Djurslands Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Djurslands Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Djurslands Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Djurslands Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Djurslands Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Djurslands Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Djurslands Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Djurslands Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 21.86 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Djurslands Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Djurslands Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Djurslands Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Djurslands Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Djurslands Bank has accumulated about 158.78 M in cash with (196.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 59.35. |
Djurslands Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Djurslands Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Djurslands Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Djurslands Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.7 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 10 |
Djurslands Bank Technical Analysis
Djurslands Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Djurslands Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Djurslands Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Djurslands Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Djurslands Bank Predictive Forecast Models
Djurslands Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Djurslands Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Djurslands Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Djurslands Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about Djurslands Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Djurslands Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Djurslands Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Djurslands Bank has accumulated about 158.78 M in cash with (196.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 59.35. |
Check out Djurslands Bank Backtesting, Djurslands Bank Valuation, Djurslands Bank Correlation, Djurslands Bank Hype Analysis, Djurslands Bank Volatility, Djurslands Bank History as well as Djurslands Bank Performance. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Complementary Tools for Djurslands Stock analysis
When running Djurslands Bank's price analysis, check to measure Djurslands Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Djurslands Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Djurslands Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Djurslands Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Djurslands Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Djurslands Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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