Endesa SA (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.55
| ELE Stock | EUR 18.43 0.27 1.44% |
Endesa |
Endesa SA Target Price Odds to finish over 17.55
The tendency of Endesa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 17.55 in 90 days |
| 18.43 | 90 days | 17.55 | about 40.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Endesa SA to stay above € 17.55 in 90 days from now is about 40.0 (This Endesa SA probability density function shows the probability of Endesa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Endesa SA price to stay between € 17.55 and its current price of €18.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Endesa SA has a beta of 0.31 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Endesa SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Endesa SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Endesa SA has an alpha of 0.185, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Endesa SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Endesa SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Endesa SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Endesa SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Endesa SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Endesa SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Endesa SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Endesa SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Endesa SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Endesa SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Endesa SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Endesa SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Endesa SA has accumulated 6.35 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.19, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Endesa SA has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Endesa SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Endesa SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Endesa SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Endesa to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Endesa SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 70.0% of Endesa SA shares are held by company insiders |
Endesa SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Endesa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Endesa SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Endesa SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
Endesa SA Technical Analysis
Endesa SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Endesa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Endesa SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Endesa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Endesa SA Predictive Forecast Models
Endesa SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Endesa SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Endesa SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Endesa SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Endesa SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Endesa SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Endesa SA has accumulated 6.35 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.19, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Endesa SA has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Endesa SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Endesa SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Endesa SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Endesa to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Endesa SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 70.0% of Endesa SA shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Endesa Stock
Endesa SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Endesa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Endesa with respect to the benefits of owning Endesa SA security.