American Funds 2010 Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.32

FAATX Fund  USD 11.31  0.06  0.53%   
American Funds' future price is the expected price of American Funds instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of American Funds 2010 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out American Funds Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, American Funds Correlation, American Funds Hype Analysis, American Funds Volatility, American Funds History as well as American Funds Performance.
  
Please specify American Funds' target price for which you would like American Funds odds to be computed.

American Funds Target Price Odds to finish over 11.32

The tendency of American Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 11.32  or more in 90 days
 11.31 90 days 11.32 
about 53.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Funds to move over $ 11.32  or more in 90 days from now is about 53.32 (This American Funds 2010 probability density function shows the probability of American Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Funds 2010 price to stay between its current price of $ 11.31  and $ 11.32  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon American Funds has a beta of 0.48. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, American Funds average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding American Funds 2010 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally American Funds 2010 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   American Funds Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American Funds

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Funds 2010. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Funds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.9711.3111.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.9811.3211.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.9411.2911.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.3111.4511.58
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Funds. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Funds' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Funds' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in American Funds 2010.

American Funds Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Funds is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Funds' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Funds 2010, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Funds within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.48
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

American Funds Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Funds for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Funds 2010 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 5.59% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

American Funds Technical Analysis

American Funds' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Funds 2010. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

American Funds Predictive Forecast Models

American Funds' time-series forecasting models is one of many American Funds' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Funds' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about American Funds 2010

Checking the ongoing alerts about American Funds for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Funds 2010 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 5.59% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Check out American Funds Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, American Funds Correlation, American Funds Hype Analysis, American Funds Volatility, American Funds History as well as American Funds Performance.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Funds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Funds is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Funds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.