Falcon Metals Limited Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.07
| FALFF Stock | USD 0.07 0.00 0.00% |
Falcon |
Falcon Metals Target Price Odds to finish over 0.07
The tendency of Falcon Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.07 | 90 days | 0.07 | about 72.5 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Falcon Metals to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 72.5 (This Falcon Metals Limited probability density function shows the probability of Falcon Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Falcon Metals has a beta of 0.0336. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Falcon Metals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Falcon Metals Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Falcon Metals Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Falcon Metals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Falcon Metals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Falcon Metals Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Falcon Metals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Falcon Metals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Falcon Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Falcon Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Falcon Metals Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Falcon Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Falcon Metals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Falcon Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Falcon Metals Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Falcon Metals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Falcon Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Net Loss for the year was (63.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Falcon Metals Limited has accumulated about 25.02 M in cash with (3.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Falcon Metals Technical Analysis
Falcon Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Falcon Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Falcon Metals Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Falcon Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Falcon Metals Predictive Forecast Models
Falcon Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Falcon Metals' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Falcon Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Falcon Metals Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Falcon Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Falcon Metals Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Falcon Metals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Falcon Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Net Loss for the year was (63.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Falcon Metals Limited has accumulated about 25.02 M in cash with (3.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.14, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Falcon Pink Sheet
Falcon Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Falcon Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Falcon with respect to the benefits of owning Falcon Metals security.