Helios Fairfax Partners Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 2.34
| FFXXF Stock | USD 2.40 0.11 4.80% |
Helios |
Helios Fairfax Target Price Odds to finish below 2.34
The tendency of Helios Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 2.34 or more in 90 days |
| 2.40 | 90 days | 2.34 | about 12.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Helios Fairfax to drop to $ 2.34 or more in 90 days from now is about 12.08 (This Helios Fairfax Partners probability density function shows the probability of Helios Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Helios Fairfax Partners price to stay between $ 2.34 and its current price of $2.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.06 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Helios Fairfax has a beta of 0.0052. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Helios Fairfax average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Helios Fairfax Partners will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Helios Fairfax Partners has an alpha of 0.1266, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Helios Fairfax Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Helios Fairfax
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Helios Fairfax Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Helios Fairfax's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Helios Fairfax Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Helios Fairfax is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Helios Fairfax's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Helios Fairfax Partners, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Helios Fairfax within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Helios Fairfax Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Helios Fairfax for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Helios Fairfax Partners can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Helios Fairfax had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Helios Fairfax has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (25.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.63 M. | |
| Helios Fairfax Partners has accumulated about 556.01 M in cash with (85.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.14, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Helios Fairfax Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Helios Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Helios Fairfax's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Helios Fairfax's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 108.3 M |
Helios Fairfax Technical Analysis
Helios Fairfax's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Helios Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Helios Fairfax Partners. In general, you should focus on analyzing Helios Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Helios Fairfax Predictive Forecast Models
Helios Fairfax's time-series forecasting models is one of many Helios Fairfax's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Helios Fairfax's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Helios Fairfax Partners
Checking the ongoing alerts about Helios Fairfax for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Helios Fairfax Partners help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Helios Fairfax had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Helios Fairfax has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (25.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.63 M. | |
| Helios Fairfax Partners has accumulated about 556.01 M in cash with (85.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.14, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Helios Fairfax Backtesting, Helios Fairfax Valuation, Helios Fairfax Correlation, Helios Fairfax Hype Analysis, Helios Fairfax Volatility, Helios Fairfax History as well as Helios Fairfax Performance. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Complementary Tools for Helios Pink Sheet analysis
When running Helios Fairfax's price analysis, check to measure Helios Fairfax's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Helios Fairfax is operating at the current time. Most of Helios Fairfax's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Helios Fairfax's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Helios Fairfax's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Helios Fairfax to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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