First International (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13,914
| FIBI Stock | ILS 15,060 50.00 0.33% |
First |
First International Target Price Odds to finish below 13,914
The tendency of First Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 15,060 | 90 days | 15,060 | about 85.24 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First International to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 85.24 (This First International Bank probability density function shows the probability of First Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon First International Bank has a beta of -0.19. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding First International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, First International Bank is likely to outperform the market. Additionally First International Bank has an alpha of 0.1663, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). First International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for First International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First International Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First International Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 380.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
First International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First International Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| First International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| First International Bank has accumulated about 35.28 B in cash with (1.1 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 350.83. | |
| Roughly 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
First International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of First Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential First International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 100.3 M |
First International Technical Analysis
First International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. First Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of First International Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing First Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
First International Predictive Forecast Models
First International's time-series forecasting models is one of many First International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary First International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about First International Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about First International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for First International Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| First International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| First International Bank has accumulated about 35.28 B in cash with (1.1 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 350.83. | |
| Roughly 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out First International Backtesting, First International Valuation, First International Correlation, First International Hype Analysis, First International Volatility, First International History as well as First International Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis
When running First International's price analysis, check to measure First International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First International is operating at the current time. Most of First International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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