Voya Emerging Markets Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 8.53

IMCDX Fund  USD 8.53  0.01  0.12%   
Voya Emerging's future price is the expected price of Voya Emerging instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Voya Emerging Markets performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Voya Emerging Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Voya Emerging Correlation, Voya Emerging Hype Analysis, Voya Emerging Volatility, Voya Emerging History as well as Voya Emerging Performance.
  
Please specify Voya Emerging's target price for which you would like Voya Emerging odds to be computed.

Voya Emerging Target Price Odds to finish over 8.53

The tendency of Voya Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.53 90 days 8.53 
about 17.67
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Voya Emerging to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 17.67 (This Voya Emerging Markets probability density function shows the probability of Voya Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Voya Emerging has a beta of 0.0978. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Voya Emerging average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Voya Emerging Markets will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Voya Emerging Markets has an alpha of 0.0082, implying that it can generate a 0.008153 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Voya Emerging Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Voya Emerging

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Voya Emerging Markets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Voya Emerging's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.378.538.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.687.849.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Voya Emerging. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Voya Emerging's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Voya Emerging's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Voya Emerging Markets.

Voya Emerging Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Voya Emerging is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Voya Emerging's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Voya Emerging Markets, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Voya Emerging within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.01
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Voya Emerging Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Voya Emerging for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Voya Emerging Markets can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Voya Emerging Markets retains about 84.94% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Voya Emerging Technical Analysis

Voya Emerging's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Voya Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Voya Emerging Markets. In general, you should focus on analyzing Voya Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Voya Emerging Predictive Forecast Models

Voya Emerging's time-series forecasting models is one of many Voya Emerging's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Voya Emerging's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Voya Emerging Markets

Checking the ongoing alerts about Voya Emerging for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Voya Emerging Markets help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of 0.0%
Voya Emerging Markets retains about 84.94% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities
Check out Voya Emerging Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Voya Emerging Correlation, Voya Emerging Hype Analysis, Voya Emerging Volatility, Voya Emerging History as well as Voya Emerging Performance.
Note that the Voya Emerging Markets information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Voya Emerging's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Voya Emerging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Voya Emerging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Voya Emerging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.