Intema Insaat (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 253.75
| INTEM Stock | TRY 253.75 8.25 3.15% |
Intema |
Intema Insaat Target Price Odds to finish over 253.75
The tendency of Intema Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 253.75 | 90 days | 253.75 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intema Insaat to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Intema Insaat ve probability density function shows the probability of Intema Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Intema Insaat ve has a beta of -0.16. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Intema Insaat are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Intema Insaat ve is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Intema Insaat ve has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Intema Insaat Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Intema Insaat
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intema Insaat ve. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intema Insaat's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intema Insaat Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intema Insaat is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intema Insaat's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intema Insaat ve, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intema Insaat within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.57 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 30.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Intema Insaat Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intema Insaat for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intema Insaat ve can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Intema Insaat ve generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Intema Insaat ve has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Intema Insaat ve has accumulated 37.8 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.39, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Intema Insaat ve has a current ratio of 0.97, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Intema Insaat until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Intema Insaat's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Intema Insaat ve sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Intema to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Intema Insaat's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 86.0% of Intema Insaat shares are held by company insiders |
Intema Insaat Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intema Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intema Insaat's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intema Insaat's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.2 M |
Intema Insaat Technical Analysis
Intema Insaat's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intema Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intema Insaat ve. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intema Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Intema Insaat Predictive Forecast Models
Intema Insaat's time-series forecasting models is one of many Intema Insaat's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intema Insaat's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Intema Insaat ve
Checking the ongoing alerts about Intema Insaat for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Intema Insaat ve help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Intema Insaat ve generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Intema Insaat ve has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Intema Insaat ve has accumulated 37.8 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.39, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Intema Insaat ve has a current ratio of 0.97, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Intema Insaat until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Intema Insaat's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Intema Insaat ve sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Intema to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Intema Insaat's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 86.0% of Intema Insaat shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Intema Stock
Intema Insaat financial ratios help investors to determine whether Intema Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Intema with respect to the benefits of owning Intema Insaat security.