Iqvia Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 224.64

IQV Stock  USD 229.60  2.51  1.11%   
IQVIA Holdings' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on IQVIA Holdings. Implied volatility approximates the future value of IQVIA Holdings based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in IQVIA Holdings over a specific time period. For example, 2024-06-21 CALL at $230.0 is a CALL option contract on IQVIA Holdings' common stock with a strick price of 230.0 expiring on 2024-06-21. The contract was last traded on 2024-05-24 at 15:49:09 for $5.49 and, as of today, has 27 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $5.5, and an ask price of $5.9. The implied volatility as of the 25th of May is 21.88. View All IQVIA options

Closest to current price IQVIA long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

IQVIA Holdings' future price is the expected price of IQVIA Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of IQVIA Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out IQVIA Holdings Backtesting, IQVIA Holdings Valuation, IQVIA Holdings Correlation, IQVIA Holdings Hype Analysis, IQVIA Holdings Volatility, IQVIA Holdings History as well as IQVIA Holdings Performance.
For more information on how to buy IQVIA Stock please use our How to Invest in IQVIA Holdings guide.
  
At this time, IQVIA Holdings' Price Earnings Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Book Value Ratio is likely to climb to 7.31 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 1.65 in 2024. Please specify IQVIA Holdings' target price for which you would like IQVIA Holdings odds to be computed.

IQVIA Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 224.64

The tendency of IQVIA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 224.64  or more in 90 days
 229.60 90 days 224.64 
about 6.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IQVIA Holdings to drop to $ 224.64  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.63 (This IQVIA Holdings probability density function shows the probability of IQVIA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IQVIA Holdings price to stay between $ 224.64  and its current price of $229.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.23 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.23 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, IQVIA Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally IQVIA Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   IQVIA Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for IQVIA Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IQVIA Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IQVIA Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
228.22229.58230.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
206.64241.16242.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
225.43226.79228.14
Details
21 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
224.97247.22274.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as IQVIA Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against IQVIA Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, IQVIA Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in IQVIA Holdings.

IQVIA Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IQVIA Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IQVIA Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IQVIA Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IQVIA Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.16
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.23
σ
Overall volatility
10.81
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

IQVIA Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IQVIA Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IQVIA Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IQVIA Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has 14.23 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.37, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. IQVIA Holdings has a current ratio of 0.88, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist IQVIA Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, IQVIA Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like IQVIA Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for IQVIA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about IQVIA Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
IQVIA Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 90.0% of IQVIA Holdings shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Heres Why You Should Hold on to IQVIA Stock for Now - Yahoo Finance UK

IQVIA Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IQVIA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IQVIA Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IQVIA Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding186.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.5 B

IQVIA Holdings Technical Analysis

IQVIA Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IQVIA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IQVIA Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing IQVIA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

IQVIA Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

IQVIA Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many IQVIA Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IQVIA Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about IQVIA Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about IQVIA Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IQVIA Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IQVIA Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has 14.23 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.37, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. IQVIA Holdings has a current ratio of 0.88, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist IQVIA Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, IQVIA Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like IQVIA Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for IQVIA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about IQVIA Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
IQVIA Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 90.0% of IQVIA Holdings shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Heres Why You Should Hold on to IQVIA Stock for Now - Yahoo Finance UK
When determining whether IQVIA Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze IQVIA Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact IQVIA Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding IQVIA Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out IQVIA Holdings Backtesting, IQVIA Holdings Valuation, IQVIA Holdings Correlation, IQVIA Holdings Hype Analysis, IQVIA Holdings Volatility, IQVIA Holdings History as well as IQVIA Holdings Performance.
For more information on how to buy IQVIA Stock please use our How to Invest in IQVIA Holdings guide.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

Complementary Tools for IQVIA Stock analysis

When running IQVIA Holdings' price analysis, check to measure IQVIA Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IQVIA Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of IQVIA Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IQVIA Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IQVIA Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IQVIA Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is IQVIA Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of IQVIA Holdings. If investors know IQVIA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about IQVIA Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.02
Earnings Share
7.32
Revenue Per Share
82.423
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.023
Return On Assets
0.0503
The market value of IQVIA Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IQVIA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IQVIA Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IQVIA Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IQVIA Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IQVIA Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IQVIA Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IQVIA Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IQVIA Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.