Juniper Networks Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 36.52

JNPR Stock  USD 36.52  0.13  0.35%   
Juniper Networks' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Juniper Networks. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Juniper Networks based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Juniper Networks over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $37.0 is a CALL option contract on Juniper Networks' common stock with a strick price of 37.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-04-12 at 12:48:56 for $0.1 and, as of today, has 3 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.0, and an ask price of $0.05. The implied volatility as of the 16th of April 2024 is 20.57. View All Juniper options

Closest to current price Juniper long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Juniper Networks' future price is the expected price of Juniper Networks instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Juniper Networks performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Juniper Networks Backtesting, Juniper Networks Valuation, Juniper Networks Correlation, Juniper Networks Hype Analysis, Juniper Networks Volatility, Juniper Networks History as well as Juniper Networks Performance.
To learn how to invest in Juniper Stock, please use our How to Invest in Juniper Networks guide.
  
As of 04/16/2024, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 31.93, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 1.61. Please specify Juniper Networks' target price for which you would like Juniper Networks odds to be computed.

Juniper Networks Target Price Odds to finish over 36.52

The tendency of Juniper Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 36.52 90 days 36.52 
over 95.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Juniper Networks to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.47 (This Juniper Networks probability density function shows the probability of Juniper Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Juniper Networks has a beta of 0.27. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Juniper Networks average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Juniper Networks will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Juniper Networks has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Juniper Networks Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Juniper Networks

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Juniper Networks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Juniper Networks' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.1136.5236.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.0834.4940.17
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
29.3532.2535.80
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.350.400.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Juniper Networks. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Juniper Networks' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Juniper Networks' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Juniper Networks.

Juniper Networks Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Juniper Networks is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Juniper Networks' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Juniper Networks, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Juniper Networks within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Juniper Networks Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Juniper Networks for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Juniper Networks can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Juniper Networks generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Juniper Networks has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 22nd of March 2024 Juniper Networks paid $ 0.22 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Antitrust worries could push HubSpot to consider none-Google bidder - Source

Juniper Networks Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Juniper Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Juniper Networks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Juniper Networks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding325.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B

Juniper Networks Technical Analysis

Juniper Networks' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Juniper Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Juniper Networks. In general, you should focus on analyzing Juniper Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Juniper Networks Predictive Forecast Models

Juniper Networks' time-series forecasting models is one of many Juniper Networks' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Juniper Networks' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Juniper Networks

Checking the ongoing alerts about Juniper Networks for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Juniper Networks help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Juniper Networks generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Juniper Networks has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 22nd of March 2024 Juniper Networks paid $ 0.22 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Antitrust worries could push HubSpot to consider none-Google bidder - Source
When determining whether Juniper Networks is a strong investment it is important to analyze Juniper Networks' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Juniper Networks' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Juniper Stock, refer to the following important reports:

Complementary Tools for Juniper Stock analysis

When running Juniper Networks' price analysis, check to measure Juniper Networks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Juniper Networks is operating at the current time. Most of Juniper Networks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Juniper Networks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Juniper Networks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Juniper Networks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Juniper Networks' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Juniper Networks. If investors know Juniper will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Juniper Networks listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.31)
Dividend Share
0.88
Earnings Share
0.95
Revenue Per Share
17.389
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
The market value of Juniper Networks is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Juniper that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Juniper Networks' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Juniper Networks' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Juniper Networks' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Juniper Networks' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Juniper Networks' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Juniper Networks is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Juniper Networks' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.