Japan Real (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2960.00
| JUA Stock | EUR 2,960 20.00 0.67% |
Japan |
Japan Real Target Price Odds to finish over 2960.00
The tendency of Japan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2,960 | 90 days | 2,960 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Japan Real to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Japan Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of Japan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Japan Real has a beta of 0.53. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Japan Real average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Japan Real Estate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Japan Real Estate has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Japan Real Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Japan Real
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Japan Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Japan Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Japan Real Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Japan Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Japan Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Japan Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Japan Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 77.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Japan Real Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Japan Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Japan Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Japan Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Japan Real Estate has accumulated €353.19 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| The company has accumulated 353.19 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 76.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Japan Real Estate has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Japan Real until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Japan Real's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Japan Real Estate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Japan to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Japan Real's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Japan Real Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Japan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Japan Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Japan Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 M | |
| Dividend Yield | 2.3568 | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 70.2 B |
Japan Real Technical Analysis
Japan Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Japan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Japan Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Japan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Japan Real Predictive Forecast Models
Japan Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many Japan Real's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Japan Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Japan Real Estate
Checking the ongoing alerts about Japan Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Japan Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Japan Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Japan Real Estate has accumulated €353.19 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| The company has accumulated 353.19 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 76.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Japan Real Estate has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Japan Real until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Japan Real's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Japan Real Estate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Japan to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Japan Real's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Check out Japan Real Backtesting, Japan Real Valuation, Japan Real Correlation, Japan Real Hype Analysis, Japan Real Volatility, Japan Real History as well as Japan Real Performance. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Complementary Tools for Japan Stock analysis
When running Japan Real's price analysis, check to measure Japan Real's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Japan Real is operating at the current time. Most of Japan Real's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Japan Real's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Japan Real's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Japan Real to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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