Kafrit (Israel) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1,807
| KAFR Stock | ILA 1,929 25.00 1.31% |
Kafrit |
Kafrit Target Price Odds to finish over 1,807
The tendency of Kafrit Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1,929 | 90 days | 1,929 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kafrit to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Kafrit probability density function shows the probability of Kafrit Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kafrit has a beta of 0.38. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kafrit average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kafrit will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kafrit has an alpha of 0.3737, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kafrit Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kafrit
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kafrit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kafrit's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kafrit Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kafrit is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kafrit's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kafrit, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kafrit within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.37 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 154.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.28 |
Kafrit Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kafrit for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kafrit can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kafrit is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days | |
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Kafrit Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kafrit Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kafrit's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kafrit's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.8 M |
Kafrit Technical Analysis
Kafrit's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kafrit Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kafrit. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kafrit Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kafrit Predictive Forecast Models
Kafrit's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kafrit's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kafrit's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kafrit
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kafrit for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kafrit help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kafrit is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days | |
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Kafrit Backtesting, Kafrit Valuation, Kafrit Correlation, Kafrit Hype Analysis, Kafrit Volatility, Kafrit History as well as Kafrit Performance. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Complementary Tools for Kafrit Stock analysis
When running Kafrit's price analysis, check to measure Kafrit's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kafrit is operating at the current time. Most of Kafrit's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kafrit's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kafrit's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kafrit to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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