Invesco Kbw Regional Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 47.31
| KBWR Etf | USD 48.26 0.81 1.65% |
Closest to current price Invesco long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Invesco |
Invesco KBW Target Price Odds to finish below 47.31
The tendency of Invesco Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 47.31 or more in 90 days |
| 48.26 | 90 days | 47.31 | about 5.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco KBW to drop to $ 47.31 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.2 (This Invesco KBW Regional probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco KBW Regional price to stay between $ 47.31 and its current price of $48.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.84 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.37 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Invesco KBW will likely underperform. Additionally Invesco KBW Regional has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Invesco KBW Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Invesco KBW
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco KBW Regional. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco KBW's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Invesco KBW Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco KBW is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco KBW's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco KBW Regional, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco KBW within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Invesco KBW Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco KBW for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco KBW Regional can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Invesco KBW Regional generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Is SPDR SP Regional Banking ETF a Strong ETF Right Now | |
| The fund created three year return of -6.0% | |
| Invesco KBW Regional maintains all of its assets in stocks |
Invesco KBW Technical Analysis
Invesco KBW's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco KBW Regional. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Invesco KBW Predictive Forecast Models
Invesco KBW's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco KBW's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco KBW's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.