Krungthai Card (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 43.00

KTC-R Stock  THB 43.00  0.00  0.00%   
Krungthai Card's future price is the expected price of Krungthai Card instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Krungthai Card Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Krungthai Card Backtesting, Krungthai Card Valuation, Krungthai Card Correlation, Krungthai Card Hype Analysis, Krungthai Card Volatility, Krungthai Card History as well as Krungthai Card Performance.
  
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Krungthai Card Target Price Odds to finish over 43.00

The tendency of Krungthai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 43.00 90 days 43.00 
about 70.23
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Krungthai Card to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 70.23 (This Krungthai Card Public probability density function shows the probability of Krungthai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Krungthai Card has a beta of 0.0996. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Krungthai Card average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Krungthai Card Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Krungthai Card Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Krungthai Card Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Krungthai Card

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Krungthai Card Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Krungthai Card's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.2545.0045.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.7245.4746.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
44.3145.0645.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
45.8046.6647.53
Details

Krungthai Card Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Krungthai Card is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Krungthai Card's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Krungthai Card Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Krungthai Card within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.0092
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.1
σ
Overall volatility
5.78
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Krungthai Card Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Krungthai Card for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Krungthai Card Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Krungthai Card generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Krungthai Card Public has accumulated about 814.21 M in cash with (4.28 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.16.

Krungthai Card Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Krungthai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Krungthai Card's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Krungthai Card's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.6 B

Krungthai Card Technical Analysis

Krungthai Card's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Krungthai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Krungthai Card Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Krungthai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Krungthai Card Predictive Forecast Models

Krungthai Card's time-series forecasting models is one of many Krungthai Card's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Krungthai Card's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Krungthai Card Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Krungthai Card for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Krungthai Card Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Krungthai Card generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Krungthai Card Public has accumulated about 814.21 M in cash with (4.28 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.16.

Other Information on Investing in Krungthai Stock

Krungthai Card financial ratios help investors to determine whether Krungthai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Krungthai with respect to the benefits of owning Krungthai Card security.