Lavipharm (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.95
| LAVI Stock | EUR 0.98 0.01 1.03% |
Lavipharm |
Lavipharm Target Price Odds to finish over 2.95
The tendency of Lavipharm Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 2.95 or more in 90 days |
| 0.98 | 90 days | 2.95 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lavipharm to move over € 2.95 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Lavipharm SA probability density function shows the probability of Lavipharm Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lavipharm SA price to stay between its current price of € 0.98 and € 2.95 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lavipharm SA has a beta of -0.3. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lavipharm are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lavipharm SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lavipharm SA has an alpha of 0.1871, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lavipharm Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lavipharm
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lavipharm SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lavipharm's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lavipharm Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lavipharm is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lavipharm's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lavipharm SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lavipharm within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.3 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Lavipharm Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lavipharm for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lavipharm SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lavipharm SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Lavipharm SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Lavipharm Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lavipharm Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lavipharm's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lavipharm's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 7.1 M |
Lavipharm Technical Analysis
Lavipharm's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lavipharm Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lavipharm SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lavipharm Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lavipharm Predictive Forecast Models
Lavipharm's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lavipharm's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lavipharm's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lavipharm SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lavipharm for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lavipharm SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lavipharm SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Lavipharm SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Lavipharm Backtesting, Lavipharm Valuation, Lavipharm Correlation, Lavipharm Hype Analysis, Lavipharm Volatility, Lavipharm History as well as Lavipharm Performance. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Complementary Tools for Lavipharm Stock analysis
When running Lavipharm's price analysis, check to measure Lavipharm's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lavipharm is operating at the current time. Most of Lavipharm's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lavipharm's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lavipharm's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lavipharm to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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