Northern Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 25.91

MBCC Etf

USD 25.91 0.37 1.45%

Northern Lights' future price is the expected price of Northern Lights instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Northern Lights performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Check out Northern Lights Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Northern Lights Correlation, Northern Lights Hype Analysis, Northern Lights Volatility, Northern Lights History as well as Northern Lights Performance. Please specify Northern Lights time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Northern Lights odds to be computed.

Northern Lights Target Price Odds to finish over 25.91

The tendency of Northern Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.

Current Price	Horizon	Target Price	Odds to move above the current price in 90 days
25.91	90 days	25.91	about 7.21

Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Northern Lights to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.21 (This Northern Lights probability density function shows the probability of Northern Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Northern Lights has a beta of 0.87. This indicates Northern Lights market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Northern Lights is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1395, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).

Northern Lights Price Density

Price

Predictive Modules for Northern Lights

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northern Lights. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Northern Lights' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Northern Lights in the context of predictive analytics.

Hype

Prediction

Low	Estimated	High
25.01	25.91	26.81

Details

Intrinsic

Valuation

Low	Real	High
23.32	27.90	28.80

Details

Naive

Forecast

Low	Next	High
25.09	25.99	26.89

Details

Bollinger

Band Projection (param)

Lower	Middle Band	Upper
24.72	25.37	26.03

Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Northern Lights. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Northern Lights' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Northern Lights' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Northern Lights.

Northern Lights Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Northern Lights is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Northern Lights' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Northern Lights, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Northern Lights within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.

α	Alpha over NYSE Composite	0.14	Details
β	Beta against NYSE Composite	0.87	Details
σ	Overall volatility	0.63	Details
Ir	Information ratio	0.15	Details

Northern Lights Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Northern Lights for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Northern Lights can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

	Northern Lights is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
	The fund maintains 99.75% of its assets in stocks

Northern Lights Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Northern Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Northern Lights' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Northern Lights' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

	Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day	4.58k
	Average Daily Volume In Three Month	5.57k

Northern Lights Technical Analysis

Northern Lights' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Northern Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Northern Lights. In general, you should focus on analyzing Northern Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

	Cycle Indicators
	Math Operators
	Math Transform
	Momentum Indicators
	Overlap Studies
	Pattern Recognition
	Price Transform
	Statistic Functions
	Volatility Indicators
	Volume Indicators

Northern Lights Predictive Forecast Models

Northern Lights' time-series forecasting models is one of many Northern Lights' etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Northern Lights' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Northern Lights

Checking the ongoing alerts about Northern Lights for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Northern Lights help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

	Northern Lights is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
	The fund maintains 99.75% of its assets in stocks

Check out Northern Lights Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Northern Lights Correlation, Northern Lights Hype Analysis, Northern Lights Volatility, Northern Lights History as well as Northern Lights Performance. Note that the Northern Lights information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Northern Lights' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

Complementary Tools for Northern Etf analysis

When running Northern Lights' price analysis, check to measure Northern Lights' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Northern Lights is operating at the current time. Most of Northern Lights' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Northern Lights' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Northern Lights' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Northern Lights to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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The market value of Northern Lights is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Northern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Northern Lights' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Northern Lights' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Northern Lights' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Northern Lights' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Northern Lights' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northern Lights is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northern Lights' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

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	Naive Prediction
	Simple Exponential Smoothing
	Double Exponential Smoothing
	Triple Exponential Smoothing
	Simple Regression
	Polynomial Regression
	Simple Moving Average
	4 Period Moving Average
	8 Period Moving Average
	20 Period Moving Average

Northern Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 25.91

Northern Lights Target Price Odds to finish over 25.91

Predictive Modules for Northern Lights

Northern Lights Risk Indicators

Northern Lights Alerts and Suggestions

Northern Lights Price Density Drivers

Northern Lights Technical Analysis

Northern Lights Predictive Forecast Models

Things to note about Northern Lights

Complementary Tools for Northern Etf analysis

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