Mobivity Holdings Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.34

MFON Stock  USD 0.34  0.00  0.00%   
Mobivity Holdings' future price is the expected price of Mobivity Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mobivity Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mobivity Holdings Backtesting, Mobivity Holdings Valuation, Mobivity Holdings Correlation, Mobivity Holdings Hype Analysis, Mobivity Holdings Volatility, Mobivity Holdings History as well as Mobivity Holdings Performance.
  
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Mobivity Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 0.34

The tendency of Mobivity OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.34 90 days 0.34 
about 82.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mobivity Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 82.47 (This Mobivity Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Mobivity OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.4 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Mobivity Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Mobivity Holdings has an alpha of 0.417, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mobivity Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mobivity Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mobivity Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mobivity Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.3410.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.3310.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.3510.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.270.330.38
Details

Mobivity Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mobivity Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mobivity Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mobivity Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mobivity Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.42
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.40
σ
Overall volatility
0.1
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Mobivity Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mobivity Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mobivity Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mobivity Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Mobivity Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mobivity Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Mobivity Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Mobivity Holdings currently holds 2.54 M in liabilities. Mobivity Holdings has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Mobivity Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mobivity Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mobivity Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mobivity to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mobivity Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 8.17 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.87 M.
Mobivity Holdings currently holds about 1.09 M in cash with (4.48 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Roughly 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Mobivity Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mobivity OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mobivity Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mobivity Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding55.4 M

Mobivity Holdings Technical Analysis

Mobivity Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mobivity OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mobivity Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mobivity OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mobivity Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Mobivity Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Mobivity Holdings' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mobivity Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mobivity Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mobivity Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mobivity Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mobivity Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Mobivity Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mobivity Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Mobivity Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Mobivity Holdings currently holds 2.54 M in liabilities. Mobivity Holdings has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Mobivity Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mobivity Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mobivity Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mobivity to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mobivity Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 8.17 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.87 M.
Mobivity Holdings currently holds about 1.09 M in cash with (4.48 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Roughly 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Mobivity OTC Stock

Mobivity Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mobivity OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mobivity with respect to the benefits of owning Mobivity Holdings security.