NEUBERGER Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 44.03

NBPIX
 Fund
  

USD 44.03  0.35  0.79%   

NEUBERGER BERMAN's future price is the expected price of NEUBERGER BERMAN instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NEUBERGER BERMAN LARGE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Additionally, see NEUBERGER BERMAN Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, NEUBERGER BERMAN Correlation, NEUBERGER BERMAN Hype Analysis, NEUBERGER BERMAN Volatility, NEUBERGER BERMAN History as well as NEUBERGER BERMAN Performance. Please specify NEUBERGER BERMAN time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like NEUBERGER BERMAN odds to be computed.

NEUBERGER BERMAN Target Price Odds to finish over 44.03

The tendency of NEUBERGER Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 44.03 90 days 44.03 
about 12.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NEUBERGER BERMAN to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.59 (This NEUBERGER BERMAN LARGE probability density function shows the probability of NEUBERGER Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon NEUBERGER BERMAN has a beta of 0.91. This indicates NEUBERGER BERMAN LARGE market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, NEUBERGER BERMAN is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0614, implying that it can generate a 0.0614 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   NEUBERGER BERMAN Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NEUBERGER BERMAN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NEUBERGER BERMAN LARGE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of NEUBERGER BERMAN's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of NEUBERGER BERMAN in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
42.6344.0345.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
39.6345.6147.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
42.7944.1945.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
39.8843.1046.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NEUBERGER BERMAN. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NEUBERGER BERMAN's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NEUBERGER BERMAN's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in NEUBERGER BERMAN LARGE.

NEUBERGER BERMAN Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NEUBERGER BERMAN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NEUBERGER BERMAN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NEUBERGER BERMAN LARGE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NEUBERGER BERMAN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.91
σ
Overall volatility
2.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.04012

NEUBERGER BERMAN Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NEUBERGER BERMAN for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NEUBERGER BERMAN LARGE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NEUBERGER BERMAN is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund maintains about 5.39% of its assets in cash

NEUBERGER BERMAN Technical Analysis

NEUBERGER BERMAN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NEUBERGER Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NEUBERGER BERMAN LARGE. In general, you should focus on analyzing NEUBERGER Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NEUBERGER BERMAN Predictive Forecast Models

NEUBERGER BERMAN time-series forecasting models is one of many NEUBERGER BERMAN's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary NEUBERGER BERMAN's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NEUBERGER BERMAN LARGE

Checking the ongoing alerts about NEUBERGER BERMAN for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NEUBERGER BERMAN LARGE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NEUBERGER BERMAN is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund maintains about 5.39% of its assets in cash
Additionally, see NEUBERGER BERMAN Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, NEUBERGER BERMAN Correlation, NEUBERGER BERMAN Hype Analysis, NEUBERGER BERMAN Volatility, NEUBERGER BERMAN History as well as NEUBERGER BERMAN Performance. You can also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running NEUBERGER BERMAN LARGE price analysis, check to measure NEUBERGER BERMAN's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NEUBERGER BERMAN is operating at the current time. Most of NEUBERGER BERMAN's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NEUBERGER BERMAN's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NEUBERGER BERMAN's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NEUBERGER BERMAN to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between NEUBERGER BERMAN's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine NEUBERGER BERMAN value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NEUBERGER BERMAN's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.