Natixis Oakmark Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 23.04
| NEOYX Fund | USD 31.10 0.20 0.64% |
Natixis |
Natixis Oakmark Target Price Odds to finish over 23.04
The tendency of Natixis Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 23.04 in 90 days |
| 31.10 | 90 days | 23.04 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Natixis Oakmark to stay above $ 23.04 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Natixis Oakmark Fund probability density function shows the probability of Natixis Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Natixis Oakmark price to stay between $ 23.04 and its current price of $31.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.19 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.08 . This indicates Natixis Oakmark Fund market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Natixis Oakmark is expected to follow. Additionally Natixis Oakmark Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Natixis Oakmark Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Natixis Oakmark
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Natixis Oakmark. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Natixis Oakmark's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Natixis Oakmark Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Natixis Oakmark is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Natixis Oakmark's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Natixis Oakmark Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Natixis Oakmark within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Natixis Oakmark Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Natixis Oakmark for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Natixis Oakmark can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Natixis Oakmark Technical Analysis
Natixis Oakmark's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Natixis Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Natixis Oakmark Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Natixis Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.