Plby Group Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.75
| PLBY Stock | USD 0.75 0.04 5.06% |
Closest to current price Plby long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Plby |
Plby Target Price Odds to finish over 0.75
The tendency of Plby Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.75 | 90 days | 0.75 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Plby to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Plby Group probability density function shows the probability of Plby Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.29 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Plby will likely underperform. Additionally Plby Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Plby Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Plby
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Plby Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Plby's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Plby Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Plby is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Plby's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Plby Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Plby within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0073 |
Plby Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Plby for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Plby Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Plby Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Plby Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Plby Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Plby Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 142.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (186.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 137.29 M. | |
| Plby Group currently holds about 45.5 M in cash with (43.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.0, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Plby Group has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Sentiment Still Eluding PLBY Group, Inc. |
Plby Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Plby Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Plby's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Plby's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 71.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29.7 M |
Plby Technical Analysis
Plby's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Plby Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Plby Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Plby Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Plby Predictive Forecast Models
Plby's time-series forecasting models is one of many Plby's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Plby's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Plby Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Plby for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Plby Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Plby Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Plby Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Plby Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Plby Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 142.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (186.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 137.29 M. | |
| Plby Group currently holds about 45.5 M in cash with (43.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.0, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Plby Group has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Sentiment Still Eluding PLBY Group, Inc. |
Additional Tools for Plby Stock Analysis
When running Plby's price analysis, check to measure Plby's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Plby is operating at the current time. Most of Plby's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Plby's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Plby's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Plby to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.