Portland General Electric Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 44.46
| POR Stock | USD 44.56 1.22 2.81% |
Closest to current price Portland long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Portland |
Portland General Target Price Odds to finish below 44.46
The tendency of Portland Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 44.46 or more in 90 days |
| 44.56 | 90 days | 44.46 | about 89.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Portland General to drop to $ 44.46 or more in 90 days from now is about 89.7 (This Portland General Electric probability density function shows the probability of Portland Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Portland General Electric price to stay between $ 44.46 and its current price of $44.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.01 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Portland General has a beta of 0.95 indicating Portland General Electric market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Portland General is expected to follow. Additionally Portland General Electric has an alpha of 0.122, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Portland General Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Portland General
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Portland General Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Portland General's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Portland General Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Portland General is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Portland General's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Portland General Electric, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Portland General within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Portland General Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Portland General for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Portland General Electric can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has 4.44 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.32, which is OK given its current industry classification. Portland General Electric has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Portland General until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Portland General's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Portland General Electric sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Portland to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Portland General's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Portland General has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 100.0% of Portland General shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of April 2024 Portland General paid $ 0.475 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: EXTIENDEN PLAZO POR 90 DAS para el Proceso de Reclamacin por Tarifas de Intercambio de las Tarjetas de Pago |
Portland General Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Portland Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Portland General's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Portland General's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 98 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5 M |
Portland General Technical Analysis
Portland General's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Portland Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Portland General Electric. In general, you should focus on analyzing Portland Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Portland General Predictive Forecast Models
Portland General's time-series forecasting models is one of many Portland General's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Portland General's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Portland General Electric
Checking the ongoing alerts about Portland General for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Portland General Electric help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has 4.44 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.32, which is OK given its current industry classification. Portland General Electric has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Portland General until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Portland General's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Portland General Electric sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Portland to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Portland General's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Portland General has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 100.0% of Portland General shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of April 2024 Portland General paid $ 0.475 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: EXTIENDEN PLAZO POR 90 DAS para el Proceso de Reclamacin por Tarifas de Intercambio de las Tarjetas de Pago |
Check out Portland General Backtesting, Portland General Valuation, Portland General Correlation, Portland General Hype Analysis, Portland General Volatility, Portland General History as well as Portland General Performance. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Complementary Tools for Portland Stock analysis
When running Portland General's price analysis, check to measure Portland General's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Portland General is operating at the current time. Most of Portland General's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Portland General's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Portland General's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Portland General to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Portland General's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Portland General. If investors know Portland will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Portland General listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.345 | Dividend Share 1.9 | Earnings Share 2.6 | Revenue Per Share 31.001 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.242 |
The market value of Portland General Electric is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Portland that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Portland General's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Portland General's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Portland General's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Portland General's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Portland General's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Portland General is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Portland General's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.