Royal Caribbean (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2763.50
| RCL Stock | MXN 2,764 53.49 1.97% |
Royal |
Royal Caribbean Target Price Odds to finish over 2763.50
The tendency of Royal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2,764 | 90 days | 2,764 | roughly 2.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Royal Caribbean to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.97 (This Royal Caribbean Group probability density function shows the probability of Royal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Royal Caribbean Group has a beta of -0.0885 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Royal Caribbean are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Royal Caribbean Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Royal Caribbean Group has an alpha of 0.5099, implying that it can generate a 0.51 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Royal Caribbean Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Royal Caribbean
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Royal Caribbean Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Royal Caribbean's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Royal Caribbean Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Royal Caribbean is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Royal Caribbean's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Royal Caribbean Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Royal Caribbean within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.51 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 228.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Royal Caribbean Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Royal Caribbean for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Royal Caribbean Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Royal Caribbean has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Royal Caribbean Group has accumulated 21.3 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 96.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Royal Caribbean Group has a current ratio of 0.17, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Royal Caribbean until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Royal Caribbean's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Royal Caribbean Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Royal to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Royal Caribbean's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 8.84 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.16 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.23 B. | |
| Over 76.0% of Royal Caribbean shares are owned by institutional investors |
Royal Caribbean Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Royal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Royal Caribbean's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Royal Caribbean's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 255.2 M |
Royal Caribbean Technical Analysis
Royal Caribbean's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Royal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Royal Caribbean Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Royal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Royal Caribbean Predictive Forecast Models
Royal Caribbean's time-series forecasting models is one of many Royal Caribbean's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Royal Caribbean's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Royal Caribbean Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Royal Caribbean for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Royal Caribbean Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Royal Caribbean has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Royal Caribbean Group has accumulated 21.3 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 96.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Royal Caribbean Group has a current ratio of 0.17, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Royal Caribbean until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Royal Caribbean's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Royal Caribbean Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Royal to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Royal Caribbean's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 8.84 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.16 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.23 B. | |
| Over 76.0% of Royal Caribbean shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for Royal Stock Analysis
When running Royal Caribbean's price analysis, check to measure Royal Caribbean's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Royal Caribbean is operating at the current time. Most of Royal Caribbean's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Royal Caribbean's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Royal Caribbean's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Royal Caribbean to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.