Retail Holdings Nv Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.071

RHDGF Stock  USD 0.07  0.00  0.00%   
Retail Holdings' future price is the expected price of Retail Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Retail Holdings NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Retail Holdings Backtesting, Retail Holdings Valuation, Retail Holdings Correlation, Retail Holdings Hype Analysis, Retail Holdings Volatility, Retail Holdings History as well as Retail Holdings Performance.
  
Please specify Retail Holdings' target price for which you would like Retail Holdings odds to be computed.

Retail Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 0.071

The tendency of Retail Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 0.07 90 days 0.07 
about 84.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Retail Holdings to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 84.6 (This Retail Holdings NV probability density function shows the probability of Retail Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.09 indicating Retail Holdings NV market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Retail Holdings is expected to follow. Additionally Retail Holdings NV has an alpha of 0.3269, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Retail Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Retail Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Retail Holdings NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Retail Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.078.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.068.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.078.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.060.070.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Retail Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Retail Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Retail Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Retail Holdings NV.

Retail Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Retail Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Retail Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Retail Holdings NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Retail Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.33
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.09
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Retail Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Retail Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Retail Holdings NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Retail Holdings NV had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Retail Holdings NV has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 317 K. Net Loss for the year was (259 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 487 K.

Retail Holdings Technical Analysis

Retail Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Retail Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Retail Holdings NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Retail Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Retail Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Retail Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Retail Holdings' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Retail Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Retail Holdings NV

Checking the ongoing alerts about Retail Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Retail Holdings NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Retail Holdings NV had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Retail Holdings NV has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 317 K. Net Loss for the year was (259 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 487 K.
Check out Retail Holdings Backtesting, Retail Holdings Valuation, Retail Holdings Correlation, Retail Holdings Hype Analysis, Retail Holdings Volatility, Retail Holdings History as well as Retail Holdings Performance.
Note that the Retail Holdings NV information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Retail Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Retail Pink Sheet analysis

When running Retail Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Retail Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Retail Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Retail Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Retail Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Retail Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Retail Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Retail Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Retail Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Retail Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.